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PGA Tour 2013

1 David Ferrer (ESP) Vs. 2 Stanislas Wawrinka (SWI)

Portugal Open May 5, 2013 10:40 AM

Ferrer/Wawrinka: -3.5/+3.5, -103/-113, moneyline: -250/+210, ov/un: 22, -113/-103 See the Latest Odds

TV: N/A in USA

Many of the big guns return for this week’s Tour event, the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte.

This is a tune up for next week’s Players Championship and the year’s highest purse and it is played on a course that is among the most popular of the Tour season.  The list of former winners includes Tiger Woods, Jim Furyk, Rory McIlroy, Vijay Singh and last year’s winner Rickie Fowler.  Quail Hollow is a classic risk/reward layout that plays pretty long (about 7450) but features a couple of drivable par 4s and a couple reachable par 5s that can allow a player to shoot a very low score if he is on his game. However, it is also the kind of course that severely penalizes miscues so it is not unlikely that there will be a couple guys who are a little off and will shoot in the high 70s or low 80s.  The final three holes, dubbed “the Green Mile”, are among the most difficult finishing trio of holes in all of golf.  The combination of the strongest field since the Masters, eagle opportunities for those willing to take risks, the need for course management for those who prefer a more conservative approach and the difficult finishing stretch make for great theater and an enjoyable Sunday in front of the TV for golf fans.  Here is a look at the top ten at the books (as of this posting) and some of my best bets at the 2013 Wells Fargo Championship:

PGA Tour 2013

USA TODAY Sports

 

The Top Ten:

 

Rory McIlroy -- 8/1

Webb Simpson -- 16/1

Phil Mickelson -- 18/1

Lee Westwood -- 18/1

Bubba Watson -- 22/1

Sergio Garcia -- 25/1

Rickie Fowler -- 25/1

Nick Watney -- 28/1

Bill Haas -- 31/1

Henrik Stenson -- 40/1

D.A. Points -- 40/1



Patrick’s Picks:

 

To Win:  Lee Westwood (18/1) -- Playing exclusively on the U.S. Tour since February, Westwood hasn’t really had an outstanding 2013 season but his last two starts have been top tens including his tie for 8th at the Masters.  Combine his recent good play with a top 5 at Quail Hollow last year and he’s a solid value at 18/1.

 

Outside the Top Ten:  Angel Cabrera (55/1 to win - 5/1 to finish in the top ten) -- Cabrera had his usual solid performance at Augusta, just missing out on another green jacket and his previous start at the Shell Houston Open was his second best of the 2013 season.  He’s playing his best golf right now and has some history of success at Quail Hollow finishing a solo 3rd as recently as 2010.

 

Sleeper:  Padraig Harrington (80/1 to win - 6/1 top ten) -- Paddy wasn’t good at Augusta but posted a top ten earlier in April in Texas and has finished in the top ten at Quail Hollow the last two times he played there... in ‘10 and ‘11.

 

Longshot:  Sean O’Hair (150/1 to win - 12/1 top ten) -- Probably not a great bet to win but here’s a guy who is a former champion in this event (2009), who finished tied for 15th at Quail Hollow last year and who just shot 4 rounds under par last week in New Orleans.  12/1 to finish in the top ten is a good value here.

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Ian's Pick: Ferrer in three 3-6, 6-2, 7-6(3)

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