Alexander Povetkin vs. Mike Perez Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/22/15
Boxing: Friday, May 22, 2014 at (Olympic Indoor Arena, Moscow, Russia)
The Line: Mike Perez +350/Alexander Povetkin -485 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: WatchESPN / ESPN2
Alexander Povetkin and Mike Perez fight Friday at the Olympic Indoor Arena for a shot at Deontay Wilder’s WBC title.
Alexander Povetkin enters this fight with a 28-1 record that includes 20 knockouts. Povetkin has won his last two fights since suffering his first loss of his career against Wladimir Klitschko in 2013. Only two of Povetkin’s last seven fights have gone the distance. Povetkin stands in at a solid 6’2” and is extremely aggressive with his power punches, as he looks to end every fight with a knockout. Povetkin doesn’t move as well as he once did at 35 years old, but his punches are still very heavy and can end a fight rather quickly if they land at a high percentage. Povetkin can open himself up to counters, as he can be too aggressive, but that’s only if his opponent can recover and handle the punches given. This will be the fifth time Povetkin has fought in the Olympic Indoor Arena.
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Mike Perez enters this fight with a 21-1-1 record that includes 13 knockouts. Perez is coming off a victory over Darnell Wilson in February, after he suffered a loss against Bryant Jennings and a draw against Carlos Takam. Like Povetkin, Perez packs a heavy punch and will land plenty of haymakers when the opportunity presents itself. At 6’1”, Perez does a nice job of ducking and weaving before coming up and landing a nasty counter. Perez doesn’t have as much experience as Povetkin, but he’s six years younger with a lot less wear and tear on his body. This is a chance for Perez to really prove himself against a quality boxer. This will be the first time Perez has fought in the Olympic Indoor Arena.
There’s many reasons why Povetkin is the heavy favorite with odds of -485. One, Povetkin is the more experienced and talented boxer. Another is this fight is taking place in Povetkin’s backyard and a place he’s fought many times in the past. Povetkin will be the crowd favorite and will be even tougher to beat on his soil. Also, I don’t like that Perez had a conditioning issue in his fight against Jennings, making him tough to trust even with some good value on the line.
While I don’t like the chalk, I don’t see any way Alexander Povetkin loses this fight.