Miguel Cotto vs. Canelo Alvarez Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 11/21/15
Canelo Alvarez vs. Miguel Cotto
Boxing: Saturday, November 21, 2015 at 10:00 pm (Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino)
The Line: Miguel Cotto +250 / Saul Alvarez -300 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Miguel Cotto and Canelo Alvarez fight Saturday night at the Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino.
Miguel Cotto enters this fight with a 40-4 record that includes 33 knockouts. Cotto has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a June victory over Daniel Geale. Coto is a well-rounded fighter who does a nice job of mixing up combinations and has solid power in both hands. Even at 35 years old, Cotto still has knockout power and has a hook that his opponent must respect. Cotto has always been a consistent fighter who shows up and brings the fight to his opponent. The concern with Cotto is not only that two of his four losses have come since 2012, but he’s fighting in a weight class he doesn’t belong and can often be overpowered due to his smaller frame and shorter reach. This will be Cotto’s 13th fight in Vegas, the city he's lost three of his four fights in. This is Cotto’s third fight since last year.
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Canelo Alvarez enters this fight with a 45-1-1 record that includes 32 knockouts. Alvarez has won his last three fights and is coming off a May win over James Kirkland. Alvarez has a high boxing IQ and usually takes what his opponent gives him, as he’ll often sit back and pick his spots. When Alvarez gets comfortable and starts landing his power punches, a fight can end rather quickly and it’s tough to get the 25-year-old out of that comfort zone. The concern with Alvarez is that he struggles against athletic boxers who can dance around the ring. Alvarez doesn’t like to chase, and his stamina does seem to fade as the fight drags on. This will be the seventh time Alvarez fights in Las Vegas, the city in which his only loss came to Floyd Mayweather, Jr.
I’m a big fan of Cotto and think the plus money is intriguing. However, if we’re trying to make some bucks, the smart money should be on Alvarez. Alvarez is not only a decade younger than Cotto, but he’s in better shape, is the stronger puncher at this point and has the high IQ to figure his opponent out after a few rounds. Also, Cotto hasn’t exactly proven much since his return, as a lot of his fights have come against subpar fighters.
I see Alvarez getting the victory here, which should give us a historic match against Gennady Golovkin.