Danny Garcia vs. Samuel Vargas Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 11/12/16
Vargas vs. Garcia
Boxing: Saturday, November 12, 2016 (Liacouras Center)
The Line: Vargas +2500 / Garcia -6250 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Danny Garcia and Samuel Vargas meet for a boxing matchup Saturday night at the Liacouras Center.
Danny Garcia enters this fight with a 32-0 record that includes 18 knockouts. This will be Garcia’s fourth fight since 2015, and he’s coming off a January win over Robert Guerrero. Garcia is coming off a victory in which he won the WBC World welterweight title and hopes to continue proving he’s one of the best boxers in the world at 28 years old. Garcia is a nightmare offensively, as he has a terrific left hook and does a nice job of dictating the pace of the fight. Garcia mixes up his punches well and is usually always the aggressor. Garcia does have some pop in his punches but only two of his last seven fights have ended in knockout. The only concern with Garcia is that he can struggle with crafty boxers, as his bouts with Lamont Peterson and Mauricio Herrera were a lot closer than expected. This will be Garcia’s fourth fight in Philadelphia, his birthplace.
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Samuel Vargas enters this fight with a 25-2-1 record that includes 13 knockouts. Vargas has won his last five fights and is coming off a May win over Juan Armando Garcia. Vargas has been a busy fighter lately and has bounced back nicely from his 2015 loss to Errol Spence Jr. Vargas hasn’t exactly had a lot of marquee fights throughout his career, so he should be excited for the opportunity here. Vargas has some pop behind his punches and does a nice job of lining up his target and throwing heavy shots when he has the chance. Vargas has to be more active with his hands if he’s going to have a shot at the upset here. The concern with Vargas is that he hasn’t fought the best competition in his career and looked outmatched against Spence and Pablo Munguia, two of the bigger fights he’s had. This will be Vargas’ first fight in Philadelphia and only third in the United States.
Vargas didn't have the proven competition or the track record that provides much hope against a fighter like Garcia. Sure, Vargas is an accomplished boxer and the former NCC Welterweight champion, but there’s huge steps up between Garcia and majority of the boxers Vargas has fought throughout his career. There’s no much Vargas can really do here, which explains the massive line favoring Swift. Garcia is too polished offensively, too experienced and is fighting in his hometown where the crowd will provide an extra boost of motivation.
Look for Garcia to remain undefeated after this bout.