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Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines Free Pick 9/21/13

Michigan Wolverines (3-0) at Connecticut Huskies (0-2)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, September 21, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Rentschler Field)

The Line: Connecticut Huskies 18 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The 0-2 Connecticut Huskies welcome the 15th ranked Michigan Wolverines to Storrs this Saturday at 8PM.

Michigan enters this contest after narrowly escaping an upset at home versus the feisty Akron Zips.  The Wolverines struggled out of the gate as quarterback Devin Gardner threw a pair of picks in the first half and the Zips completely halted the Wolverines run game.  Michigan took a 7-3 lead to the locker room but were held scoreless for the final 25 minutes of the first half.  Devin Gardner finished the contest 16-30 with 238 yards, 2TD’s and 3 picks.  Gardner added 103 yards and a TD on the ground and Toussaint added 71 yards and a TD of his own.  The Wolverines finished the game with 425 total yards but will need to eliminate the turnovers and costly penalties if they want to get to 4-0 in a hostile road environment this weekend.

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines Free Pick 9/21/13

Jeff Griffith-USA TODAY Sports

Connecticut lost their 2nd straight contest to a team from the state of Maryland this past weekend as the Terrapins came to town and left with a 32-21 win.  UConn relied on two huge 4th and 1 stops by their D early to get solid field position and strike first on a 5 yard run by Lyle McCombs.  McCombs stumbled to another pedestrian showing with just 53 yards on the ground and the Huskies finished the game with just 35 rushing yards via multiple Maryland sacks on quarterback Chandler Whitmer.  Junior Shakim Phillips stood out above the other Huskies as he hauled in 10 passes for 178 yards and a TD.  On defense, the Huskies struggled to stop the zone read all night long as Maryland quarterback CJ Brown was able to guide the Terrapins to over 500 yards offense and the convincing road win.  The Huskies defense will need to continue to grow up as the Wolverines feature an even more potent attack.

Some trends to consider -- Michigan is 7-18-1 against the spread in their last 26 road games and UConn is 2-6-1 against the spread in their last 9 games in September.

Michigan is the superior team here and despite their struggles with lowly Akron this past weekend, the Wolverines speed and skill players should have no issue with this rebuilding UConn defensive unit.  Look for Devin Gardner to be less mistake-prone after a week of film review and Michigan to pull away early in the 2nd half much like Maryland did for the road win and the cover.

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Michigan -18

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