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LSU Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers Free Pick 9/21/13

Auburn Tigers (3-0) at LSU Tigers (3-0)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, September 21, 2013 at 7:45 pm (Tiger Stadium)

The Line: LSU Tigers -17.5 -- Over/Under: 56 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The LSU Tigers and the Auburn Tigers face off on Saturday in Baton Rouge as they meet for a SEC college football battle.

The LSU Tigers are off to a 3-0 start to the season as they play their first SEC Opponent of the year. After a 10 point win over TCU in their opener LSU has had two home games against UAB and Kent State making this the third week in a row they are at home. QB Zach Mettenberger has completed 65.2 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns without throwing an interception. LSU is stacked at running back with Terrence Magee averaging 8.1 yards per carry with three touchdowns, Jeremy Hill averaging 9.8 yards per carry with three touchdowns, and Alfred Blue averaging 4.8 yards per carry. Jarvis Landry s having a big year with 17 receptions and five touchdowns and Odell Beckham has 15 catches and four touchdowns. The LSU defense has one interception, six sacks, and two fumble recoveries and they are allowing less than 268 yards of offense per game. Ego Ferguson has 16 tackles and Jermauria Rasco and Ronald martin each have 14. LSU started the season a lot lower ranked than usual but it is pretty clear they are going to be a factor this season.

LSU Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers Free Pick 9/21/13

Crystal Logiudice-USA TODAY Sports

The Auburn Tigers are off to a 3-0 start and while it didn’t seem like a big deal just a few years back it is a big improvement over what we have seen recently. Gus Malzahn has made a difference and while Auburn hasn’t been overwhelming and all of their games have been at home it is tough to argue with the results. QB Nick Marshall has completed 61.4 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and two interceptions while rushing for 102 yards. Corey Grant is averaging 9.6 yards per carry with two touchdowns, Tre mason is averaging 5.3 yards per carry with two touchdowns, and Cameron Artis-Payne is averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Marcus Davis leads the Auburn receivers with eight catches, Sammy Coates has seven catches, and Quan Bray and Ricardo Lewis each have six catches. The Auburn defense has three interceptions, a fumble recovery, and four sacks but they are allowing 433.7 yards per game. Robenson Therezie has 17 tackles and two interceptions, Jermaine Whitehead has 16 tackles, and Jonathon Mincy has 15 tackles. This will be Auburn’s stiffest test yet though their schedule hasn’t been full of pushovers.

LSU is 1-4 against the spread following a win, 9-3 against the spread following a win by 20 or more points, and 1-5 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover the point spread. Auburn is 6-13 against the spread in their last 19 games, 1-6 against the spread in their last seven road games, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four SEC games. The favorite has covered four of the last five meetings of these two.

LSU is the better team but Auburn just doesn’t look like a pushover and can stand up physically along the defensive line which should keep it closer than this generous number. 

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Auburn Tigers +17.5

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