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Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Free Pick 9/28/13

Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) at Missouri Tigers (3-0)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, September 28, 2013 at 7:30 pm (Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Missouri Tigers -21 -- Over/Under: 64.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: SEC, ESPN3, GamePlan

The Missouri Tigers and the Arkansas State Red Wolves face off on Saturday in Columbia for a college football showdown.

The Missouri Tigers are quietly off to a 3-0 start and are coming off of their first road game of the year at Indiana. QB James Franklin has shown his experience completing 67.3 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and three interceptions while rushing for 182 yards and another touchdown. Mizzou is loaded in the backfield with Russell Hansbrough averaging 7.7 yards per carry with three touchdowns, Henry Josey averaging 5.5 yards per carry with three touchdowns, and Marcus Murphy is averaging 7.2 yards per carry with three touchdowns. Dorial Green-Beckham has 17 catches and two touchdowns, Marcus Lucas has 17 catches, and L’Damian Washington as 13 catches and two touchdowns. Missouri is allowing 21.7 points per game, have nine interceptions, and three sacks.E,J. Gaines has 17 tackles and two interceptions, Braylon Webb has 14 tackles, and Darvin Ruise, Matt White, and Donovan Bonner each have 13 tackles. Missouri has yet to open their SEC schedule which is where they struggled a year ago.

Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Free Pick 9/28/13

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

The Arkansas State Red Wolves enter week five at 2-2 after some big wins and some one sided losses. Simply A-State has won at home and lost on the road. QB Adam Kennedy has completed 62.9 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and an interception and he has rushed for 115 yards. David Oku has rushed for 4.5 yards per carry and four touchdowns, Michael Gordon is averaging 12.2 yards per carry with three touchdowns, and Fredi Kinighten is averaging 13.2 yards per carry with three touchdowns. Julian Jones leads Arkansas State with 23 catches and a touchdown, Allen Muse has 11 catches and a touchdown, and J.D. McKissic has 10 catches and a touchdown. The Arkansas State defense is allowing 28.5 points per game, 440 yards per game, has three interceptions, three fumble recoveries, and nine sacks. Qushan Lee as 32 tackles, Chris Humes has 29 tackles and Ryan Carrethers has 28 tackles and three sacks. Arkansas State will need to improve their road play to have any chance at all here.

Missouri is 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight games, 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven non-conference games, and 2-7-1 against the spread following a game in which they covered the spread. Arkansas State is 3-0-1 against the spread following a game where they didn’t cover the spread, 4-1-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 games overall.

This is a big number for the Tigers to be laying but Arkansas State has laid an egg on the road and against bigger teams and they are in trouble here.

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Missouri Tigers -21

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