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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Free Pick 9/28/13

Northern Illinois Huskies (3-0) at Purdue Boilermakers (1-3)

College Football: Saturday, September 28, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)

The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +3.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2 HD

The Northern Illinois Huskies are undefeated on the season and head to Ross Aide Stadium on Saturday to square off against the Purdue Boilermakers.

The Purdue Boilermakers are just 1-3 on the year as Purdue fell this past weekend to the Wisconsin Badgers 41-10.  The Boilermakers have the 116th ranked rushing offense, and the 102nd ranked passing attack through their first four games of the season.  The Boilermakers have had a tough slate thus far, facing Cincinnati, Notre Dame and the Badgers in three of their first four games.  Purdue only managed 180 total yards against the Badgers in Wisconsin this past weekend.  Rob Henry was under center for the Boilermakers, and the Purdue signal caller struggled against the Badger defense, completing 18/36 for 135 yards and a pick.  The ground game obviously wasn’t any better for Purdue as the Boilermakers gained just 45 yards on the ground against Wisconsin on 21 attempts.  Defensively the Boilermakers got shredded by the Badgers on the ground as Wisconsin rushed for 388 yards and five scores against the Boilermaker defense.

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Free Pick 9/28/13

USA TODAY Sports

The Northern Illinois Huskies are a perfect 3-0 to start their season.  The Huskies started off the season with a solid win against the Hawkeyes in Iowa City, and followed that up with a win on the road against Idaho.  The Hawks and the Vandals may not be the toughest competition in the world, but back to back road games to open a season is always tough.  UNI got their fourth win last weekend when the Huskies defeated the Eastern Illinois Panthers 43-39.  The Huskies put on an impressive offensive display against the Panthers, racking up 602 yards of offense, but UNI’s defense struggled, giving up 577 yards to the Panthers, 450 of which came through the air.  It was clear from the start the Huskies were in for a fight as Northern Illinois fell behind 20-6 by the end of the first quarter, and by the half the Huskies held just a 23-20 lead.  Northern Illinois is a better team than they showed us this past weekend against the Panthers, but still there is some cause for concern here for UNI.

Against the Big Ten, the Huskies are a solid 12-6 against the spread in their last 18, and when playing against a team with a losing record, the Huskies are 6-3 against the number in their last nine.  The Boilermakers are just 1-3 against the spread this season.

I know Purdue is at home here, but I have to take the Huskies.  Senior quarterback Jordan Lynch is coming off a so-so game against the Panthers, but look for Lynch to be improved here against the Boilermaker defense.  Purdue is giving up more than eight yards per pass this season, and on the ground the Boilermakers are allowing more than five yards per carry.  Northern Illinois runs a fast paced balanced offensive attack which should keep the Boilermakers off balance defensively.  Purdue will get some points against this Huskies defense, but it won’t be enough as the Huskies defeated the Boilermakers on Saturday, likely by double digits.

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Northern Illinois -3.5

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