Stanford Cardinal vs. Washington Huskies Free Pick 10/5/13
Washington Huskies (4-0) at Stanford Cardinal (4-0)
NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 5, 2013 at 10:30 pm (Stanford Stadium)
The Line: Stanford Cardinal -6.5 -- Over/Under: TBA See the Latest Odds
The Stanford Cardinal and the Washington Huskies face-off on Saturday Night in a Pac-12 battle of unbeaten ranked teams.
The Stanford Cardinal have looked nothing short of outstanding, dominating their first four opponents and finding themselves firmly implanted in the top five in the rankings. Stanford is also off to a 2-0 start in Pac-12 play and they look to take it to 3-0 with their toughest game to date. The Cardinal offense is averaging 41.2 points and 440.8 yards of offense and, at times, has looked simply unstoppable. Junior QB Kevin Hogan has completed 63.2 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions, while rushing for another 111 yards. Tyler Gaffney is averaging 5.2 yards per carry and five touchdowns to anchor the Stanford rushing attack and Anthony Wilkerson averages 4.7 yards per carry with a touchdown. Ty Montgomery is Stanford’s leading receiver with 20 catches and four touchdowns and Devon Cajuste has 10 catches and three touchdowns. The Stanford defense allows 19.5 points and 343.5 yards per game with five interceptions, nine sacks, and a fumble recovery. Shayne Skov has 28 tackles, Ed Reynolds has 25 tackles, and Wayne Lyons has 24 tackles. Stanford would be far from out of the woods with a win here, but it would make a huge statement about their chances of a championship.
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The Washington Huskies are unbeaten this season, including their first Pac-12 win of the season last week over Arizona. UW knocked off Stanford a year ago so while they know their opponent, they will be motivated and with the revenge factor, the Huskies also know they can beat Stanford if they play well. The Washington offense is averaging 39.8 points and 574 yards per game. QB Keith Price has completed 72.3 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and two interceptions while rushing for another score. Bishop Sankey anchors the Washington rushig attack averaging 5.8 yards per carry with five touchdowns and Jessie Callier averages 6.5 yards per carry with three touchdowns as Washington has 1155 yards on the ground through four games. Jaydon Mickens has 21 catches, Kasen Williams has 16 catches, and Kevin Smith has 15 catches. The Washington defense is allowing just 10.8 points and 288.8 yards per game with six interceptions, 13 sacks, and a fumble recovery. Princeton Fulmaono has 30 tackles, Shaq Thompson has 26 tackles, and John Timu has 23 tackles. The Washington defense will be put to the test in this one.
Stanford is 7-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 19-6-1 against the spread in their last 26 Pac-12 games, and 25-12 against the spread in their last 37 home games. Washington is 5-1 against the spread in their last six Pac-12 games, 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 road games, and 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games. Stanford has covered the point spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.
I believe that defense wins big games and Washington has the better defense here. This one shapes up to be a knock down, drag out physical game and getting more than a field goal in these types of games is usually a good place to be.