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Clemson Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles Free Pick 10/19/13

Florida State Seminoles (5-0) at Clemson Tigers (6-0)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 19, 2013 at 8:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Clemson Tigers 3 -- Over/Under: 63.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The third ranked Clemson Tigers host the fifth ranked Florida State Seminoles on Saturday night in Death Valley.

Clemson improved to 6-0 on the season by defeating Boston College 24-14 on Saturday afternoon. The Tigers beat Georgia in their season opener and then earned quality road wins over North Carolina State and Syracuse, while beating up on Wake Forest and South Carolina State at home. The Tigers offense is averaging 514 yards per game and 40.8 points per game, which rank 14th and 18th in the nation. Clemson averages 342 yards passing and 172 yards rushing per contest. Clemson is led by Senior QB Tajh Boyd, who has thrown for 1,783 yards with 15 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Boyd has also carried the ball 66 times for 187 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Boyd’s main target is WR Sammy Watkins, who leads the team with 36 catches for 582 yards and 4 touchdowns. WR Humphries has chipped in with 24 catches for 319 yards with 2 touchdowns for the Tigers. RB McDowell has carried the ball 78 times for 385 yards. The Clemson defense has played well this year allowing an average of 16 points per game, 344 total yards with 158 yards on the ground per contest. The Tigers will have to do a good job containing Florida State’s QB Winston in the game or they will be in big trouble. So far this season, Clemson has done a great job of getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks, with a nation’s best 24 sacks on the year, and they will need to bring that pressure against Winston in Death Valley on Saturday.

Clemson Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles Free Pick 10/19/13

Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports

Florida State, who is 5-0, will be well rested considering they had the past week off after beating Maryland 63-0 at home two weeks ago. Florida State had defeated Pittsburgh, Nevada, Bethune Cookman, and Boston College before beating up on the Terps at home. The Florida State offense has been outstanding so far this season, producing 549 yards per game and 53.6 points per game, which rank 4th and 3rd in the country. The Seminoles are averaging over 320 yards thru the air and over 228 yards on the ground per game this season. Florida State is led by QB Jameis Winston, who has thrown for 1441 yards with 17 touchdowns and 2 interceptions this season. Winston has completed an amazing 73.2% of his passes for the Seminoles. Winston has two standout wide receivers in Kenny Shaw and Rashad Greene. Shaw has 23 catches for 466 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Greene has 23 catches for 407 yards and 5 touchdowns for Florida State. RB Devonta Freeman leads the team in rushing with 385 yards on 54 carries with 3 scores. RB Karlos Williams has chipped in with 244 yards on 28 carries with 6 touchdowns. The Seminoles defense has played great, allowing only 12 points per game to their opponents so far this season. Florida State is giving up only 276.8 yards per game, with only 127.8 yards coming on the ground against their stout defensive unit. The Seminoles will need a great effort out of their defense on the road this Saturday if they want to earn a victory.

Florida State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Clemson. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

This will be the ACC’s first top-five showdown in eight years. Clemson was ahead 27-13 in Tallahassee last season in another top-10 matchup when the Seminoles rallied for a 49-37 victory. Florida State hasn’t fared well the past decade at Death Valley, where it has not won since 2001. Both Clemson and Florida State have high-powered offenses and relentless defenses. The Seminoles average 54 points a game, about 10 more than the Tigers. Clemson leads the nation with 24 sacks. Both teams also feature skilled passers and Heisman Trophy contenders in Boyd and Florida State’s Winston. This will be a great game to watch and I believe there will be plenty of highlights to go around. I believe Clemson has the better, more experienced quarterback and the best playmaker in Sammy Watkins. However, Clemson will have trouble stopping the Seminoles rushing attack.  I think the Tigers will force Winston into a few mistakes and the home crowd in Death Valley will rattle the young quarterback.  This game will be decided in the final minutes of the contest and I’ll take the points with the home team.

CLEMSON +3

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