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Memphis Tigers vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs Free Pick 10/19/13

Southern Methodist Mustangs (1-4) at Memphis Tigers (1-4)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 19, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Liberty Bowl)

The Line: Memphis Tigers -1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Southern Methodist Mustangs visit the Memphis Tigers in a battle of 1-4 teams Saturday at noon.

Southern Methodist is fresh off a bye week after coming up on the short end of a classic thriller against Rutgers the week before. The Mustangs and the Scarlet Knights traded touchdowns throughout the second half and needed three OT’s before Rutgers prevailed 55-52.  The Mustangs trailed this one throughout but used an amazing late rally in the 4th quarter to erase a 35-14 deficit before tying the game at 35 with 1:19 remaining on an amazing 2 points conversion grab by Jeremy Johnson.  Johnson finished the day with 217 yards receiving and 3 TD’s to lead all receivers.  Garrett Gilbert was quiet in the first half but turned things up in the 2nd and OT as well on his way to a season high 484 yards and 5 TD’s.  SMU finished the game with 584 total yards and will hopefully be able to built on this offensive showing moving forward as the competition gets a bit lighter in the final half of the schedule.

Memphis Tigers vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs Free Pick 10/19/13

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Tigers fell in their second straight AAC contest this past weekend at Houston 25-15.  The Tigers continue to impress defensively and in this contest they were able to hold the Houston aerial attack in check and carried a lead mid way through the 3rd quarter before the Cougars pulled away for the late win and cover.  With their focus solely on the pass game, the Tigers failed to account for Houston tailback Kenneth Farrow who rushed for two late TDs that sealed the deal.  Paxton Lynch once again struggled to put the ball in the end zone.  Lynch finished with 225 yards passing but no TD’s to show for it.  Jake Elliott was solely responsible for all the Tigers scoring knocking in all 5 field goals on the day -- he has now made all ten of his attempts this season.  The Tigers will need to get a victory this weekend if they want any shot of salvaging their conference play.

Some trends to consider -- SMU is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games in October and Memphis is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games versus losing teams.

Both of these teams are in desperate need of a win to get their seasons back on track.  The Tigers are less explosive on offense but have held much better offenses than SMU’s in check each time out this season.  Look for Memphis to establish the run and control the clock in this one and their home field advantage and stellar defense to be the difference as the Tigers get the late TD for the win and cover at home.

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Memphis -1

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