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Central Florida Knights vs. Connecticut Huskies Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Connecticut Huskies (0-6) at Central Florida Knights (5-1)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 26, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)

The Line: Central Florida Knights -22.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Central Florida Knights entered the top 25 this week at #23 and welcome the winless Connecticut Huskies to town Saturday afternoon at noon.

Central Florida followed up their only loss of the season to South Carolina a few weeks back with two relatively pedestrian wins and carried their lethargic play into the Louisville game this past weekend before rallying for a late win on the road versus the undefeated Cardinals.  After falling behind 28-7, the Knights used good field position and two touchdown runs by Storm Johnson and William Stanback.  After tying the game at 28 in the 3rd quarter, the Knights fell behind 35-31 before Blake Bortles led a season defining rally that put the Knights in the pole position for the AAC crown with 6 games left to play.  Bortles threw for 250 yards and 2 TDs in the win and Storm Johnson led all rushers with 109 yards on the ground and chipped in another 79 out of the backfield and racked up 2 td’s.  With wins on the road at Penn State and at Louisville, the appearance in the top 25 is no surprise and look for the Knights to continue to trend upwards as the season rolls on.

Central Florida Knights vs. Connecticut Huskies Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Connecticut’s disaster season continued this past weekend in Cincinnati where the Bearcats dismantled the Huskies 41-16. After closing out the first quarter with a field goal to cut the lead to 7-3, the Huskies were outscored 27-0 over the next quarter and a half and never threatened from there out.  UConn finsihed the game with 377 total yards -- 250 or so of which was racked up against the Bearcats backups in the 2nd half.  The Huskies yielded 525 yards to a Cinnci offense that had struggled in recent weeks to eclipse the 350 yard mark.  With another deflating loss, the Huskies now rank 118th in the country in points per game as they visit a Central Florida team capable of putting up points in a hurry.

Some trends to consider -- UConn is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 on the road and UCF is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 at home.

I would look long and hard at the trends in this one and then quickly roll with the Knights.  Central Florida is superior on both sides of the ball and after racking up some quality wins this season, it is now time to show they belong.  Look for Bortles to carve up the Connecticut defense all afternoon and Storm Johnson to have another dominant all purpose day as the Knights get the cover at home and become bowl eligible.

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UCF -22.5

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