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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-1) at Iowa State Cyclones (1-5)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 26, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Jack Trice Stadium)

The Line: Iowa State Cyclones 13.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

Storyline: An ineffective J.W. Walsh was pulled in favor of Sr. QB Clint Chelf in the second frame against TCU Saturday and Chelf did enough to lead Oklahoma State to a 24-10 win, but may have also rekindled a quarterback controversy that had, by all appearances, been put to bed in week two. Iowa State, meanwhile, was on the receiving end of a 71-7 beatdown by a surging Baylor team that kept the Cyclones to under 200 yards of total offense.

The Breakdown: Before being yanked in the second quarter, Walsh was 9-of-18 for 115 yards and two interceptions, the costliest being a pick in the end-zone that stalled a promising drive. Chelf, who hadn’t seen much playing time since losing the starting job to Walsh in week two against UTSA, didn’t fare much better statistically, throwing an interception on his first attempt, but leading two Ok State scoring drives to take a 17-0 lead into the half. Chelf finished 10-of-28 for 178 yards. The Cowboys managed 415 total yards of offense, 320 passing between Chelf and Walsh, but the ground game never got churning and added little support, totaling just 95 yards led by Fresh. RB Rennie Childs with 45 yards and a touchdown on 9 carries. Jr. WR Josh Stewart had a standout day with 10 receptions for 141 yards.  Defensively, the Cowboys surrendered 325 total yards, 199 rushing and 126 passing, while forcing 4 turnovers and holding TCU to 6-of-17 third down conversions.

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

Iowa State struggled in every phase of the game against Baylor, conceding a whopping 714 yards of total offense and managing just 174 yards of their own. The Cyclones trailed 17-0 after the first quarter, but two touchdowns and two field goals later the rout was on and Iowa State fell behind 37-0 at the half. Soph. QB Sam B. Richardson looked lost and was replaced by redshirt freshman Grant Rohrbach in the second quarter, but by then the damage had already been done. Rohrbach matched an awful day from Richardson with 65 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception on 8-of-13 passing, while Richardson finished 7-of-14 for 68 yards and 1 interception. The Cyclones running game was stuffed and Jr. RB Aaron Wimberly, who’d become a rising star in recent weeks, rushed for 21 yards on 5 attempts.

Betting Trends: Oklahoma State is 6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games, 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games,  1-4 SU in its last 5 road games, 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games versus Iowa State, and 2-4 ATS in its last 6 road games against Iowa State. Iowa State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games, 0-5 SU in its last 5 home games, 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games versus Ok State, 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Ok State, and 4-2 ATS in its last 6 home games against Ok State.

Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at 13.5 for Ok State and giving two touchdowns to the Cyclones isn’t a whole lot after such a dismal performance last week against Baylor. But if Iowa State has anything going for them at all, it’s that they have multiple personalities. Aside from the final score, they pretty much beat Texas and took Texas Tech to the wire the following week. Look for an Ok State cover, though, no matter the starting QB.

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Oklahoma State -13.5

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