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Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Baylor Bears (6-0) at Kansas Jayhawks (2-4)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, October 26, 2013 at 7:00 pm (Univ of Kansas Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Kansas Jayhawks +35 -- Over/Under: 72.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN U

Storyline: The 8th-ranked Baylor Bears were back in highly-caffeinated form Saturday night in a 71-7 rout of Iowa State after being slowed to a more terrestrial 35 points and 446 total yards by Kansas State the week before. The Kansas Jayhawks, meanwhile, continued sinking into the abyss with a 34-19 loss to Oklahoma Saturday, their third straight this season and 24th consecutive Big 12 conference loss dating back to November of 2010.

The Breakdown: So much for Baylor coming back down to earth once conference play started. Granted, Iowa State isn’t your perennial Big 12 powerhouse, but the Bears were as unstoppable an offensive force against the Cyclones as they’d been in short-circuiting scoreboards in their first four, routs against Wofford, Buffalo, Louisiana -Monroe and West Virginia where 70 points and 700 plus yards of offense were the norm. Against Iowa State, the breakneck pace that disappeared against K-State was back and the standouts all had their way. Jr. QB Bryce Petty connected on 23-of-31 for 343 yards and two touchdowns, Jr. RB Lache Seastrunk carried 18 times for 112 yards and two touchdowns, while Sr. RB Glasco Martin added 81 yards rushing on 12 carries, and the stellar WR duo of Jr. Antwan Goodley and Sr. Tevin Reese accounted for 11 receptions for 182 yards and two touchdowns, and 6 catches for 105 yards respectively. Defensively, the Bears were as stingy as they’d been all season, holding the Cyclones to just 174 total yards, 133 passing and a paltry 41 yards rushing. Baylor also forced 3 turnovers and kept Iowa State to 4-of-16 third down conversions.

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/26/13

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

If there’s a silver lining for Kansas in their game against the Sooners, it’s that they didn’t really get blown out and were actually in the game at one point. As they did against Texas Tech, Kansas actually led after the first quarter. Then came the rains and 25 straight points gave Oklahoma a lead they would never surrender. Beyond that, and a 129, two touchdown rushing performance from Sr. RB James Sims, there’s not much good to say. The stat line that sums up how dreadful things have become for the Jayhawks is Jr. QB Todd Heaps’ 5-of-13 for 16 yards and 1 TD.    

Betting Trends: Baylor is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games, 4-2 ATS in its last 6 road games, 4-8 ATS in its last 12 road games, 2-4 SU in its last 6 road games, 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Kansas and the total has gone over in 8 of Baylor’s last 12 road games. Kansas is 4-20-1 SU in its last 25 games, 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games, 3-12 SU in its last 15 home games, 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Baylor and the total has gone over in 4 of Kansas’s last 5 home games.

Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at -35 for Baylor with a 72.5 point total. That’s a big number, but it would take no less than a miracle for the Bears not to cover. Kansas is that god-awful on both sides of the ball. But if there’s one thing that could keep you from laying down 5 TD’s it’s that Kansas is somehow only giving up 27 points a game. The closest they’ve come to facing an offense with this kind of weaponry, though, was the Texas Tech game and they got throttled by 38 there. Look for a Baylor cover and an under on the point total, given Kansas’s woeful 114th-ranked scoring offense.

 

Baylor -35

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