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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/2/13

Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-1) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-1)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 2, 2013 at 7:00 pm (Jones AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders 1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


Storyline: Clint Chelf may have kept the QB controversy on the table with his shoddy play against Iowa State Saturday, but the Senior was uncharacteristically bailed out by a stunning effort from the Ok State ground game for the 58-27 victory.  Texas Tech, meanwhile, dropped its first to Oklahoma in a wild 38-30 shootout that saw 986 combined yards of offense when the dust settled.

The Breakdown:  Chelf got the start this week after relieving Soph. J.W. Walsh in the second quarter against TCU and may have raised more questions about Ok State’s recent passing struggles than he answered. Chelf finished 10-of-26 for 78 yards, one touchdown and one interception, but the Cowboy running game, which had failed to make an impression all season long, came to the rescue with a staggering 342 total yards. Jr. RB Desmond Roland carried 26 times for 219 yards and 4 touchdowns and Chelf added 85 yards on 9 attempts. Ok State started strong, scoring the first 21 points before the Cyclones got on the board with 2:58 left in the frame. Iowa State cut the lead to 28-20 to close the half, but the rout took shape in the third quarter behind 24 unanswered Cowboys points. Defensively, Ok State surrendered 346 total yards, 192 passing and 154 rushing, while forcing three turnovers and keeping Iowa State to 4-of-20 third down conversions.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/2/13

Richard Rowe-USA TODAY Sports

The Red Raiders came in the game with OU undefeated and looking to validate its #10 ranking, but needed to rally from 21-7 down at one point in the third quarter to take a 24-21 lead. The Sooners managed to match Tech’s big play ability, however, and took advantage of three Tech turnovers. Freshman QB Davis Webb continued to impress in his third start in place of an injured Baker Mayfield, connecting on 33-of-53 for 385 yards and two touchdowns, but threw two costly picks. Jr. TE Jace Amaro, who may be the best in the country at his position, went over 100 yards receiving for his third consecutive game with 8 catches for 119 yards. Sr. WR Eric Ward finished with 9 catches for 106 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, the Red Raiders conceded 526 total yards to OU, 249 passing and 277 rushing, while forcing one turnover and allowing the Sooners to convert 7-of-14 third down attempts.

Betting Trends: Oklahoma State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games, 7-1 SU in its last 8 games, 2-7 ATS in its last 9 road games, 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Texas Tech, 3-6 ATS in its last 9 road games against Texas Tech, and 2-7 SU in its last 9 road games against Texas Tech. Texas Tech is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games, 2-5 ATS in its last 7 home games, 5-0 SU in its last 5 home games, 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games against Ok State, 6-3 ATS in its last 9 home games against Ok State, and 7-2 SU in its last 9 home games against Ok State.

Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at 1.5 for Texas Tech, which is indicative of how little separates the two. On paper, at least.  Tech brings the nation’s third-ranked passing game, the 19th-ranked scoring offense and the 26th-ranked defense in points against. Ok State brings the 23rd-ranked scoring offense and the 19th-ranked defense in points against. The one glaring difference is Ok State’s struggling pass offense, which needs a complete about face to have any chance. Look for Tech to bounce back and cover.  

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Texas Tech -1.5

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