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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Clemson Tigers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/2/13

Clemson Tigers (7-1) at Virginia Cavaliers (2-6)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 2, 2013 at 3:30 pm (Scott Stadium)

The Line: Virginia Cavaliers 17 -- Over/Under: 53 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Clemson Tigers head up to Virginia to play the Cavaliers on Saturday afternoon.

Clemson improved to 7-1 on the year and 5-1 in ACC competition after beating Maryland on the road 40-27 last weekend. This was a big game for the Tigers after getting blown out at home by Florida State the week before. The Tigers produced 540 yards on offense with a well balanced attack. QB Tajh Boyd completed 28 of 41 passes for 304 yards with 1 touchdowns and 1 interception. WR Sammy Watkins caught an outstanding 14 balls for 163 yards for the Tigers. RB Roderick McDowell rushed for 161 yards and 2 touchdowns in the win. Boyd has thrown for 2,243 yards and 17 touchdowns for the Tigers this season. Watkins leads the team in receiving with 58 catches for 813 yards and 5 touchdowns. McDowell leads the rushing attack with 607 yards and 2 scores this season. Clemson ranks 25th in points scored, averaging over 37 points a game this year. Clemson allowed 364 yards to a beat up Maryland squad and forced four turnovers in the contest. Clemson did a great job getting off the field on third down and controlled the clock with long offensive drives. The Tigers rank 30th in points allowed, giving up only 22 points per contest this season.

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Clemson Tigers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/2/13

Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports

The Virginia Cavaliers are now 2-6 on the year after losing their fifth straight game on Saturday at home against Georgia Tech, 35-25. Virginia produced an impressive 444 total yards against the Yellow Jackets. QB David Watford completed 43 of 61 passes for 376 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. WR Tim Smith had 10 receptions for 151 yards, while WR Darius Jennings caught 13 balls for 119 yards with 2 touchdowns. It was the first time in Virginia history two players caught at least 10 passes in the same game. RB Kevin Parks rushed 13 times for 54 yards and a touchdown. Watford has thrown for 1,715 yards and 7 touchdowns this season for Virginia. Smith has caught 23 balls for 350 yards, while Parks has rushed for 614 yards and 9 touchdowns this season. Virginia ranks a lousy 99th in points scored, averaging just over 22 points per contest this year. Defensively, Virginia allowed 507 yards in the loss to Georgia Tech. The Cavaliers did not do a great job getting off the field on third down, but they did force 5 turnovers in the game. The Cavaliers rank 78th in points allowed, giving up over 29 points on average to their opponents this season.

Clemson is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. Virginia is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games. The over is 4-0 in Virginia’s last 4 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Clemson’s last 5 games against a team with a losing record.

Clemson has won the last two meetings with Virginia, including a 13 point win at home last season. Clemson hasn’t looked sharp in their last three games, while Virginia has been struggling ever since their season opener. Clemson should be able to score at will in this game as long as they don’t make mental mistakes and take care of the football. Virginia should also have some success against a vulnerable Clemson defense, but I don’t think they will be able to keep up in the end. I think Clemson wins by more than 20 points in what should be a high scoring game.

Clemson -17, Over 53

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