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Central Florida Knights vs. Houston Cougars Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Houston Cougars (7-1) at Central Florida Knights (6-1)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 9, 2013 at 7:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)

The Line: Central Florida Knights -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The 7-1 Houston Cougars visit the #21 Central Florida Knights in the AAC’s game of the week Saturday night at 7PM on ESPN2.

Houston kept things rolling last Thursday night handling South Florida 35-23 at home.  The Cougars struck quickly with two short TD passes from John O’Korn that gave them a 14-3 lead at the end of the first quarter -- they would never trail moving forward.  O’Korn was not quite as dominant as his showing at Rutgers recently, but he still threw for 263 yards and 3 touchdowns with no picks.  Tailbacks Jackson and Farrow combined for just over 100 yards and 2 touchdowns and Deontay Greenberry had another strong game with 106 yards and a TD.  Houston did a good job of containing USF’s offense all night, limiting them to field goals and turnovers on downs despite having the ball for 15 less minutes.  With the win, the Cougars remain in the mix for the conference title and could really boost their chances by upsetting UCF.

Central Florida Knights vs. Houston Cougars Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

David Manning-USA TODAY Sports

Central Florida is coming off a much deserved bye after an extremely impressive start to the season that featured road wins over Penn State and then #8 Louisville and a narrow home loss to a very quality South Carolina team.  Prior to their bye week, the Knights exploded for a a 62-17 thrashing of lowly Connecticut.  Receiver Jeff Godfrey stole the show in this one, tallying 3 touchdowns and 54 yards through the air.  Blake Bortles threw for 4 TD’s and the Knights rode the running game all night long -- dominating time of possession and making good on short field position awarded to them by multiple UConn turnovers. The win made it three in a row for the Knights, who sit at 3-0 in the conference as well.

Some trends to consider -- Houston is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 road games and Central Florida is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 home games.

This game has all the makings of a shootout.  The differentiator in this one is Central Florida has Storm Johnson in their backfield and should have a great opportunity to control the clock to keep Houston’s passing attack off the field.  Look for a heavy dose of Storm, and just enough quality play in the secondary for the Knights to pull away in the fourth quarter for the cover in this one.  

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UCF -10

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