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Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

North Carolina State Wolfpack (3-5) at Duke Blue Devils (6-2)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 9, 2013 at 4:00 pm (Wallace Wade Stadium)

The Line: Duke Blue Devils -9 -- Over/Under: 56.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPNU

The NC State Wolfpack travel to Duke to play the Blue Devils on Saturday afternoon.

The Wolfpack dropped to 3-5 overall, 0-5 ACC, after losing to North Carolina at home, 27-19, last weekend. NC State started off the year with a 3-1 record, but the Wolfpack have dropped 4 games in a row since then. Against UNC, the Wolfpack gained 388 total yards, but turned the ball over twice and did not do well on third down. QB Mitchell completed 10 of 22 passes for 130 yards with 2 interceptions. Mitchell ran for 105 yards and a touchdown to become the first Wolfpack quarterback to crack the 100-yard mark in 37 years. Mitchell was pulled after throwing his second interception, and QB Thomas came in for the Wolfpack’s last drive. NC State has not said who they will start this weekend at quarterback. The Wolfpack have the 99th ranked offense when it comes to points scored, averaging only 23 points per game this season. The Wolfpack allowed 427 yards to the Tar Heels and forced one turnover. NC State has had some success against the run this year but has struggled to defend the pass on consistent basis. NC State’s defense is ranked 55th in the country in points allowed, giving up 25.4 points per game this year. The Wolfpack will hit the road for this week’s game; NC State is 0-2 on the road this season.

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports

The Duke Blue Devils improved to 6-2 overall, 2-2 ACC, after beating Virginia Tech on the road, 13-10, two weeks ago. After starting off 2-2, the Blue Devils have won four straight games and have all but clinched what will be the first consecutive bowl appearances in program history. Against Virginia Tech, the numbers suggested it was the same old Duke: 0-for-11 on third-down conversions, a 387 to 198 deficit in total offense, and a whopping 39:27 to 20:33 disadvantage in time of possession. The difference was that Duke took advantage of four Hokies turnovers, while Virginia Tech could not convert off four Duke turnovers. On the year, QB Boone has thrown for 922 yards and 5 touchdowns. RB Duncan and Snead have combined for 710 yards and 3 touchdowns. WR Crowder, the best offensive weapon on the team, has caught 60 balls for 769 yards with 3 touchdowns for Duke. Duke is ranked 43rd in points scored, averaging 32.9 points per game this season. On defense, Duke is giving up an average of 167 yards on the ground and only 216 passing yards per game. Overall, the defense ranks 36th in points allowed, giving up 22.5 points per game this year. Duke will head back home after two games on the road; the Blue Devils are 3-2 at Wallace Wade Stadium this year.

Duke is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 5-1 in NC State’s last 6 conference games.

NC State had won nine straight games against Duke up until last year where the Blue Devils won by 21 points at NC State. These two teams are headed in opposite directions at this point in the season. NC State had lost 4 straight games, while Duke is coming off a bye week after winning four straight games. Duke will win this game at home because they are the better all-around team. However, Duke has never been favored by this many points in an ACC game in a long time and I think NC State will fight until the end in this game. I’ll take NC State to cover the spread, but I think Duke wins by a touchdown. I also think this will be a low scoring game that will end in the upper 40’s, so I like the under.

NC State +9, UNDER 56.5

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