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Michigan Wolverines vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Nebraska Cornhuskers (6-2) at Michigan Wolverines (6-2)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 9, 2013 at 3:30 pm (Michigan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan Wolverines -6.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC HD

The Nebraska Cornhuskers head to Ann Arbor on Saturday to face off against the Wolverines at the Big House.

The Michigan Wolverines fell to 6-2 on the season this past weekend as the Wolverines fell to the Spartans 29-6.  The Wolverine offense has been solid all season long, but the Wolverines ran into one of the best defenses in the nation this past weekend in the Spartans.  The Wolverines had merely 168 yards of total offense on Saturday.  Devin Gardner, as you could probably imagine, had a horrible day for the Wolverines, completing just 14/27 for 210 yards and a pick, giving Gardner a QBR on the day of just 8.5.  The ground game, which has been a weak spot for the Wolverines all season long, had no answer either as the Wolverines rushed for -48 yards total on the day…yep negative.  Fitz was the leading rusher for Michigan, racking up a whopping 20 yards on eight attempts.  Defensively the Wolverines did what they could, but when your offense only gives you 12 first downs on the day…it’s tough sledding.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

The Nebraska Cornhuskers, in case you’ve been living under a rock or something, won the game on a hail mary as time ticked away against the Wildcats on Saturday night.  Ron Kellogg threw the pass for the Huskers, as he was one of two quarterbacks the Huskers used on the night against the Wildcats.  Nebraska’s starter Taylor Martinez was out again with a foot injury, but most fans would like to see him stay on the sidelines, and let Armstrong and Kellogg take a shot with this offense, if for no other reason than to build for the future.  The Huskers offense managed 472 yards of offense against the Wildcats, but Nebraska was incredibly inefficient, turning the ball over four times against Northwestern on the day.  The offense was supposed to be the strong point of this team this season, but so far I haven’t seen much that impresses me.  Defensively the Huskers were solid, including getting a pick six in the second half.  The defense for the Huskers has been run on all season long, and the Wildcats took advantage, as Northwestern racked up 245 yards on the ground against Nebraska on the day.

The total has gone under in four of the last six games for Nebraska, and Nebraska is just 2-9-1 against the spread in their last 12 games on the road.  The Wolverines are just 2-4 against the spread in their last six games.

I have to take the Wolverines in this spot.  After the two emotional games these two teams played last weekend, it’s tough to say how each will come out.  Nebraska should be plenty confident, but in reality the Huskers should have lost that game against the Wildcats.  The Wolverines are coming off a tough loss to their in-state rival, and I expect Michigan, with Hoke on the sidelines to bounce back nicely this week.

The Wolverines have struggled running the ball all season long, but a good way to fix that is play Nebraska, as the Huskers are ranked 71st in the nation against the run, allowing 4.3 yards per carry on average.  On the other side, the Huskers are running the ball well, averaging 5.2 yards per carry on the year, but face the 11th ranked run defense in the nation.

I think the Huskers will be forced to be one dimensional on offense as Nebraska will still get their yards, but will be limited against the Wolverines, and the fact that Michigan should get on the board early on, means Nebraska may be in catch up mode, which is definitely not their strength.

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Michigan -6.5

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