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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Kansas Jayhawks Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Kansas Jayhawks (2-6) at Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-1)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 9, 2013 at 4:00 pm (Boone Pickens Stadium)

The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys -31 -- Over/Under: 56.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX Sports 1

Storyline: Oklahoma State looked more like Texas Tech than itself in dealing the Red Raiders their second straight loss Saturday, scoring 21 unanswered points right out of the gate en route to a 52-34 victory. Kansas, meanwhile, dropped its fifth straight and 26th consecutive Big 12 game to Texas Saturday 35-13.

The Breakdown: This was the Ok State that was on everyone’s radar at the start of the season as one of the favorites for the Big 12 title. The pace was fast and furious and the scoring seemed to come from every angle. The Cowboys posted 492 total yards, 211 passing and 281 rushing. Ok State started its scoring barrage midway through the first quarter with a 6 yard TD pass from Sr. QB Clint Chelf to Tracy Moore and never let up, taking a 21-3 lead into the second quarter. Tech would cut the lead to 28-24 at the half, but would get no closer. Chelf finished 18-of-34 for 211 yards, 2 TDs and 2 picks and added 88 yards and 2 TDs rushing on 6 carries, Jr. RB Desmond Roland carried 31 times for 96 yards and 3 TDs and Fresh. WR Jhajuan Seales caught 3 passes for 78 yards. On the defensive side, the Cowboys surrendered 549 total yards to Texas Tech, 425 passing and 124 rushing while forcing three turnovers allowing the Red Raiders to convert just 4-of-15 third down attempts.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Kansas Jayhawks Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/9/13

Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo

The Jayhawks might be hard-pressed to snap one of college football’s most dubious streaks—26 consecutive Big 12 losses—with games against Ok State, West Virginia, Iowa State and Kansas State left on the slate. Jr. QB Jake Heaps has yet to make an impression and outside of the La Tech game, where he passed for 279 yards, Heaps’ best effort came in a 54-16 loss to Texas Tech in which he finished 16-of-32 for 189 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. The only consistent performer on the offensive side has been Sr. RB James Sims, who’s rushed for 637 yards and 4 touchdowns for an average of 79.6 yards per game. Against Texas, Heaps finished 11-of-21 for 160 yards and Sims had a subpar day with 15 carries for 48 yards. Defensively, Kansas conceded 418 total yards to the Horns, 197 passing and 221 rushing, while forcing two turnovers and allowing Texas to convert 9-of17 third down attempts.

Betting Trends: Ok State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games, 8-1 SU in its last 9, 8-1 ATS in its last 9 home games, 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against Kansas, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home games against Kansas, and the total has gone over in 5 of Ok State’s last 7 games against Kansas. Kansas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games, 0-5 SU in its last 5 games, 6-17 ATS in its last 23 road games, 2-8 ATS on its last 10 games against Ok State, 1-4 ATS in its last 5 road games against Ok State, the total has gone under in 5 of Kansas’s last 6 games on the road, and the total has gone over in 5 of Kansas’s last 7 games against Ok State.

Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at a massive -31 for Ok State with a 56.5 point total. In its five game losing streak, Kansas didn’t get dismantled by TCU, Oklahoma or Texas, losing those games by 10, 15 and 22 respectively. They did get romped by Texas Tech and Baylor, though, losing there by 38 and 45. Ok State is somewhere in between offensively, sometimes explosive, most of the time not. Four touchdowns plus is a lot to lay down here and Kansas can’t score so look for the under.    

 Look for me on Twitter @SCPRick

 

Under 56.5

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