Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/16/13
West Virginia Mountaineers (4-6) at Kansas Jayhawks (2-7)
College Football: Saturday, November 16, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Kansas Jayhawks +6.5 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds
Storyline: West Virginia nearly pulled off a stunner in an overtime thriller against Texas Saturday, but stalled on its first possession of the extra frame and fell 47-40. The Mountaineers must now win their remaining two games to go bowling. Kansas, meanwhile, dropped its sixth straight to Oklahoma State Saturday 42-6, locking itself out of the postseason for the fifth straight season.
The Breakdown: With cellar dwellers Kansas and Iowa State the only two games left on the schedule, West Virginia appears to be headed for a bowl game, although it’ll likely be one that falls well before the New Year. The Mountaineers have been the Big 12's most inconsistent team this season, having overachieved at times and looked ill-suited for the conference at others. Against Texas, it was another case of West Virginia playing above its talent level, for the most part. The Mountaineers actually kept pace with the Longhorns the entire game and led 19-13 at the half, with the back and forth continuing until Texas scored on a two-yard Colt McCoy TD pass on its first OT possession. WVU failed to do anything with theirs. Stepping in for an injured Clint Trickett, Jr. QB Paul Millard connected on 16-of-32 for 259 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs, one of which gave Texas the win in OT. Sr. RB Charles Sims rushed for 93 yards and 3 TDs on 24 carries, while Jr. wide receivers Mario Alford and Kevin White caught 4 balls for 97 yards and 1 TD and 5 balls for 89 yards respectively. Defensively, WVU conceded 435 total yards while forcing 5 turnovers and holding the Longhorns to 10-of-23 third down conversions.
Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas dropped its sixth straight to Ok State, but did see a bit of improvement on the offensive side, rushing for a season high 202 yards. Jr. RB Tony Pierson combined with Sr. James Sims to rush for 153 yards on 27 carries and Fr. QB Montell Cozart added 55 yards on 18 carries. Defensively, Kansas surrendered 359 total yards, 274 passing and 85 rushing, while holding the Cowboys to 6-of-15 third down conversions.
Betting Trends: West Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games, 1-4 SU in its last 5 games, 2-4 ATS in its last 6 road games, 1-5 SU in its last 6 road games, the total has gone over in 4 of West Virginia’s last 5 games and the total has gone under in 5 of West Virginia’s last 7 games on the road. Kansas is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games, 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games, 3-13 SU in its last 16 home games, and the total has gone over in 5 of Kansas’s last 6 home games.
Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at a surprising +7 for Kansas. Granted, you never know which West Virginia team will take the field week-to-week, but we do know which Kansas team will. The Mountaineers are banged up at QB, but even Millard can cover a one TD spread.
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