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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Iowa State Cyclones Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/16/13

Iowa State Cyclones (1-8) at Oklahoma Sooners (7-2)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, November 16, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Oklahoma Sooners -24.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX Sports 1

Storyline: It was a scene reminiscent of so many in seasons past for perennial Big 12 power Oklahoma, only this time it was the Sooners walking off the field with their heads bowed down in defeat after suffering a 41-12 pasting Saturday night against fifth-ranked Baylor. Meanwhile, Iowa State dropped its sixth straight to TCU 21-17 Saturday after letting another one slip from its clutches in the waning moments.

The Breakdown: After the first quarter against Baylor, the Sooners looked like they were on their way to snuffing out the lights of another Big 12 upstart, much like they did in 2008 against Graham Harrell and second-ranked Texas Tech. As predicted by many, the OU defense provided Jr. QB Bryce Petty and the top-ranked Baylor offense with a level of defense they hadn’t yet seen, locking down the Bears vaunted passing game by going man-to-man, athlete-to-athlete. Initially. The Sooners kept Baylor out of the end zone in the first quarter for the first time all season, but the Bears got their first TD of the game at the 7:02 mark of the second frame on a 5-yard Bryce Petty keeper. Halfway through the third quarter, Baylor had scored 28 unanswered points to take a 31-5 lead and the rout was on. Defensively, OU conceded 459 total yards, 204 passing and 255 rushing and were unable to force a single turnover. On the offensive side, the Sooners just didn’t have the offense to keep pace with a team like the Bears, posting just 237 total yards, 150 passing and 87 rushing. Jr. QB Blake Bell finished 15-of-35 for 150 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Iowa State Cyclones Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/16/13

Matt Ryerson-USA TODAY Sports

The Cyclones intercepted Sr. Casey Pachall twice and held the standout TCU QB without a TD pass, but conceded the game-winner to Soph.  QB Trevone Boykin on a 1-yard keeper with 38 seconds left. Fresh. QB Grant Rohach started in place of Sam Richardson and finished 18-of-39 for 148 yards. Leading Iowa State rusher Jr.  Aaron Wimberly returned to the lineup after missing two games with back and shoulder issues, but was ineffective, carrying 18 times for just 28 yards. The Cyclones managed just 283 total yards, 173 passing and 110 rushing.  Defensively, Iowa State surrendered 368 total yards to the Horned Frogs, 245 passing and  123 rushing, while forcing two turnovers and keeping TCU to 6-of-19 third down conversions.

Betting Trends: Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games, 3-6 ATS in its last 9 home games, 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games against Iowa State, 5-0 SU in its last 5 home games versus Iowa State, the total has gone under in 4 of Oklahoma’s last 6 home games and the total has gone under in 4 of Oklahoma’s last 5 games against Iowa State. Iowa State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 road games, 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games against Oklahoma, 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against Oklahoma, the total has gone over in 4 of Iowa State’s last 6 road games and the total has gone under in 4 of Iowa State’s last 5 games against Oklahoma.

Rick’s Pick: OU opened up a 24.5 home favorite in this one with a point total yet to be posted. Neither of these teams has much of an offense scoring wise, with both ranking near the bottom of the FBS in passing yards, but the Sooners still rank among the country’s best in scoring defense and rushing yards, even after getting whooped. Look for an OU cover.

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OU -24.5

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