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Written by Dave R. on November 19, 2013

Houston Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/23/13: Dave R.'s Free College Football Pick Against the Spread
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Brandon Kay hopes to keep his strong play going as Cincinnati visits Houston Saturday.

The 8-2 Cincinnati Bearcats travel to Houston for a pivotal AAC matchup against the 7-3 Cougars.

Cincinnati kept their conference title hopes alive this past weekend as they traveled to Rutgers and completely dominated the Scarlet Knights by a score of 52-17.  The Bearcats dissected the Scarlet Knights secondary all game long and built a 52-7 lead before letting their foot off the gas late.  Brandon Kay had arguably his best showing of the season throwing for 4 TD’s and 405 yards through the air.  The main beneficiaries of his targets were receivers Mekale McKay, Shaq Washington and Anthony McClung.  The trio combined for over 330 yards total and McKay hauled in 3 of Kay’s 4 TD passes.  The Bearcats finished with 619 total yards of offense.  Credit also goes to the defense, who refused to fold and allow the contest to become a shootout.  The Bearcats are currently tied for 2nd place and face a very important game with Louisville if they can get by a solid Houston team this weekend.

Houston fell to 7-3 this past weekend as they were edged by Louisville 20-13.  Houston played a pretty solid game defensively, holding super QB Teddy Bridgewater in check all game long.  Unfortunately for the Cougars, Cardinals tailback Dominique Brown had tons of holes to run to and if fueled a dominant day rushing and controlling the ball for the home team.  Houston yielded 129 yards and just could not stay off the field all game long.  Their passing offense was completely stymied as John O’Korn was held to just 121 yards passing and failed to find a receiver in the end zone.  The Cougars 195 yards was far and away their low for the season and their 13 points was 22 points below their 35 points per game average.

Some trends to consider -- Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in their past 5 games against Houston and Houston is 9-1 against the spread in their 10 games played this season.

Cincinnati has really bought into Tommy Tuberville’s system of late and it is starting to pay big dividends as Brandon Kay is playing the best football of his career and the ground attack is rock solid as it has been in years past.  I think Louisville put together a good blueprint for how you can beat Houston this past weekend and I expect the Bearcats to try and get to John O’Korn early and often.  I like Cinnci on the road with the TD victory and the cover as they set up a showdown with Louisville with conference title implications next week.


Dave R.'s Pick: Cincinnati +2.5

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