Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas Jayhawks Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/23/13
Kansas Jayhawks (3-7) at Iowa State Cyclones (1-9)
College Football: Saturday, November 23, 2013 at 8:00 pm (Jack Trice Stadium)
The Line: Iowa State Cyclones -5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FOX Sports 1
Storyline: Kansas upset the Big 12 landscape with a commanding 31-19 win over West Virginia Saturday, snapping their 27-game conference losing streak dating back some three years. Iowa State, meanwhile, lost its seventh straight Saturday to Oklahoma 48-10, all but ensuring a last place Big 12 finish unless they can win out.
The Breakdown: Senior RB James Sims rushed for a career-high 211 yards and 3 TDs on 22 carries and busted runs of 68 and 62 yards for the lion’s share of the Jayhawks' stellar 315 yard rushing performance. It was Kansas' first Big 12 victory since taking out Colorado in November of 2010. The Jayhawks produced little in the way of a passing game with QB Montell Cozart finishing 5-of-12 for just 61 yards, but the freshman rushed for 60 yards on 13 carries. On the defensive side, Kansas conceded 386 total yards to the Mountaineers, 242 passing and 144 rushing, while forcing two interceptions and allowing West Virginia to convert 6-of-15 third downs.
Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports
The Cyclones are in a funk. Whether its freshman Grant Rohach or sophomore Sam B. Richardson under center, they’ve continued a steady downward spiral since impressive outings against Texas and Texas Tech in weeks 4 and 5. Against Oklahoma, the Iowa State defense was flattened to the tune of 405 rushing yards, 123 to freshman QB Trevor Knight alone. The Cyclones surrendered 523 total yards and allowed Oklahoma to score 45 unanswered points after taking a 10-3 lead late in the first quarter. Offensively, the Cyclones mustered just 291 total yards, 188 passing and 103 rushing and junior RB Aaron Wimberly, who came out of nowhere in weeks 3 and 4 to become the offense’s lone home run threat, just hasn’t been the same since coming back from a hamstring injury. He finished with 50 yards on 13 carries.
Betting Trends: Kansas is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games, 1-6 SU in its last 7 games, 6-18 ATS in its last 24 road games, 0-5 SU in its last 5 road games, 1-4 ATS in last 5 games against Iowa State, 2-7 ATS in its last 9 road games against Iowa State, the total has gone under in 5 of Kansas’s last 5 road games, and the total has gone under in 5 of Kansas’s last 6 road games against Iowa State. Iowa State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games, 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games, 0-5 SU in its last 5 home games, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Kansas, 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games against Kansas, the total has gone over in 7 of Iowa State’s last 9 games, and the total has gone under in 5 of Iowa State’s last 6 home games against Kansas.
Rick’s Pick: The line in this one currently has Iowa State a 5 point home favorite with a 45.5 point total. It’s hard not to call this the battle of the Big 12 basement because it is. If the Cyclones lose, they’re a lock to finish last with only two games left. If Kansas loses, they’ll still have a shot against Kansas State to escape the abyss, albeit an unlikely one. There’s not much separating these two except that Iowa State’s at home so they get the lean.
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