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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/23/13

Oklahoma Sooners (8-2) at Kansas State Wildcats (6-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 23, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Snyder Family Stadium)

The Line: Kansas State Wildcats -3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX Sports 1

Storyline: Freshman QB Trevor Knight rushed for 123 yards as the 20th-ranked Sooners made easy meat of Iowa State Saturday with a 48-10 victory, putting Bob Stoops in a tie with Barry Switzer for the most wins all-time at Oklahoma. Meanwhile, Kansas State squeaked by TCU Saturday 33-31 with a game-winning field goal in the game’s waning seconds.

The Breakdown: Trevor Knight stepped in for an injured Blake Bell and only threw for 61 yards on 8-of-14 passing, but didn’t need to do much more through the air.  The Sooners put up a season-high 405 yards rushing with Knight posting 123 yards and a score on 10 carries, Sr. RB Damien Williams rushing for 128 yards and two touchdowns on 10 carries and Sr. Brennan Clay adding 86 yards and a TD on 6 attempts. Sr. WR Lacoltan Bester led all receivers with 4 catches for 75 yards. Defensively, Oklahoma held Iowa State to just 279 total yards, 188 passing and 103 rushing, while forcing two turnovers and allowing the Cyclones to convert just 5-of-14 third downs.

Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/23/13

Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas State had a much tougher outing. The Wildcats squandered a 17-7 halftime lead and went back and forth with TCU until K Jack Cantele hit a 41-yard field goal with three seconds left for the win.  The Wildcats are now bowl-eligible for the fourth straight season. K-State rolled up 411 yards behind the rotating QB play that’s become a staple of their offense. Jr. QB Jake Waters finished 10-of-24 for 234 yards and 2 TDs, while Soph. QB Daniel Sams rushed for 109 yards and a score on 19 carries. Jr. WR Tyler Lockett had a standout day with 8 receptions for 123 yards and 1 TD and Sr. WR Tramaine Thompson caught 2 balls for 85 yards and a TD. Defensively, the Wildcats surrendered 348 total yards to TCU, 249 passing and 99 rushing, while forcing two turnovers and allowing the Horned Frogs to convert 6-of-15 third downs.

Betting Trends: Oklahoma is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games, 13-3 SU in its last 16 games, 2-4 ATS in its last 6 road games, 7-2 SU in its last 9 road games, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 road games against K-State, and the total has gone over in 4 of Oklahoma’s last 5 games against K-State. K-State is 5-1 TS in its last  games, 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games, 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Oklahoma, 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games against Oklahoma and the total has gone over in 4 of K-State’s last 5 games against Oklahoma.

Rick’s Pick: The line this one currently has K-State a 3.5 home favorite and with Blake Bell’s status up in the air the moment, it’s a tough call. Trevor Knight obviously brings a dimension that Bell doesn’t with his running ability, but the Sooners are one-dimensional with him under center. More so than with Bell, who isn’t exactly fleet afoot, but does have some mobility.  K-State, conversely, has a lot of options on offense. And without an available point total to rest on right now, K-State is the better play.   

Follow me on Twitter @SCPRick

Kansas State -3.5

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