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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/30/13

Duke Blue Devils (9-2) at North Carolina Tar Heels (6-5)

College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Kenan Stadium)

The Line: North Carolina Tar Heels -5.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Duke Blue Devils travel to North Carolina to play the Tar Heels on Saturday afternoon. 

Duke improved to 9-2 overall, 5-2 ACC, after beating Wake Forest on the road 28-21 last weekend. The Blue Devils have run off 7 straight wins and can earn a spot in the ACC Championship with a win this weekend. Against Wake Forest, Duke gained over 370 total yards and turned the ball over once. QB Boone completed 24 of 29 passes for 256 yards and 3 touchdowns. WR Crowder led the team with 10 catches for 121 yards and 2 touchdowns. Boone has thrown for 1,421 yards and 8 touchdowns this season, while Crowder has a team-high 83 catches for 1,077 yards and 5 touchdowns. Duke is averaging over 34 points per game, which ranks 35th in the country. Duke’s defense allowed only 248 yards against the Demon Deacons and forced 2 turnovers in the win. Duke’s defense, which has only allowed three offensive touchdowns in the fourth quarter this season, made some key stops down the stretch to earn the victory. The Blue Devils defense is allowing 22.8 points per game, which puts them at 36th in the nation this year. Duke will head out on the road again this weekend; the Blue Devils are a perfect 4-0 on the road this season.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/30/13

Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

The North Carolina Tar Heels improved to 6-5, 4-3 ACC, after blowing out Old Dominion 80-20 last weekend. The Tar Heels produced a whopping 721 total yards against Old Dominion with a well balanced attack, 409 passing and 312 rushing. QB Williams threw five first-half touchdown passes. Williams completed 20 of 27 passes for 409 yards, while RB Logan had a team-high 137 rushing yards with 3 touchdowns. WR Davis caught 4 balls for 124 yards and WR Switzer caught 5 balls for 118 yards and 2 touchdowns. Williams has thrown for 1,304 yards and 13 touchdowns in limited action this year, while Davis has caught 45 balls for 692 yards and 9 touchdowns this season for North Carolina. The Tar Heels are averaging 32.8 points per game, which ranks 50th in the country this year. The Tar Heels defense allowed 371 yards to Old Dominion and forced 1 turnover. North Carolina’s defense is giving up 24.9 points per game, which ranks 47th in the nation this season. The Tar Heels will stay at home for their season finale; North Carolina is 4-2 at home this season. Duke is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. North Carolina is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

North Carolina has won 8 out of last 9 meetings between these two teams, but Duke won last year at home by 3 points. Both of these teams are coming in red hot and they would like to cap off their regular season on a high note. Each team should have success running the ball, but I think the edge goes to North Carolina in the passing game. Duke can earn a spot in the ACC title game with a win, while North Carolina would take great pleasure in spoiling the Blue Devils season. I think this will be a close game and I would not be surprised if Duke won this game outright. I’ll take the points with the road dog in this one.

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Duke +5.5

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