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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Pick, Odds, Prediction 11/30/13

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-7) at Vanderbilt Commodores (7-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2013 at 12:21 pm (Vanderbilt Stadium)

The Line: Vanderbilt Commodores -14 -- Over/Under: TBA See the Latest Odds

TV: SEC, MSG, ESPN3, GamePlan

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons face off on Saturday in Nashville as they close out their 2013 college football regular seasons.

The Vanderbilt Commodores are going to a bowl game once again as they look for an eight win season with a win over Wake. James Franklin’s Commodores have taken advantage of their opportunities and turned them into victories all season long. Austyn Carta-Samuels has been taking the bulk of the snaps but last week we saw a QB rotation with Patton Robinette playing mostly on third downs. Jerron Seymour has rushed for 627 yards and 13 touchdowns and Wesley Tate has rushed for 319 yards and four touchdowns. Jordan Mathews has 96 catches and five touchdowns and Jonathan Krause has 25 catches and three touchdowns. Kenny Ladler is Vandy’s top defender with 84 tackles and five interceptions, Darreon Herring has 5 tackles, and Javon Marshall has 73 tackles. Vanderbilt’s offense is averaging 29.7 points and 363.4 points while defensively they are allowing 25 points and 360.2 yards per game. With the SEC’s bowl tie ins Vandy should be looking at a decent bowl game.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Pick, Odds, Prediction 11/30/13

Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are not going to a bowl this season and in the end regardless of what happens in this game for them it will be a matter of them not being able to close out games or capitalize on opportunities. Wake Forest had both Miami and Duke most recently down but couldn’t close them out and when you throw in a two-point loss to ULM it all adds up to a losing season. Tanner Price has completed 54.9 percent of his passes with 13 touchdowns and nine interceptions and he has rushed for four touchdowns. Josh Harris has carried the load in the backfield rushing for 435 yards and four touchdowns. With Michael Campanaro out with a broken collarbone the Demon Deacons are left with Sherman Ragland and Tyree Harris among others to try and pick up the slack. Ryan Janvion is Wake’s leading tackler with 81 while Brandon Chubb has 78 tackles and Nikita Whitlock has nine sacks. Wake will need to regroup if they hope to have any kind of chance in this one.

Vanderbilt is 10-2 against the spread following a win, 7-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 15-6 against the spread in their last 21 home games. Wake Forest is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven road games, 2-6 against the spread following a loss, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five non-ACC games. The road team has covered the point spread in five of the last six meetings of these two.

I know we have absolutely hammered it with Vandy in the premium area this year as we got on them early but they have been mild favorites in most of those games or dogs but laying two touchdowns I don’t feel as good about so while I like Vandy to win, I like Wake to cover. 

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Wake Forest Demon Deacons +14.5

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