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Written by Ryan on December 18, 2013

Boise State Broncos vs. Oregon State Beavers Sheraton Hawaii Bowl Pick-Odds-Prediction 12/24/13: Ryan's Free College Football Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

The Oregon State Beavers play the Boise State Broncos in the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl on Tuesday night.

The Boise State Broncos and the Oregon State Beavers play in the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl on Tuesday night.

Boise State finished 8-4 overall and 6-2 in the Mountain West Conference. After turning Boise State into a BCS buster, head coach Chris Peterson left to become the new coach in Washington. The school announced the hiring of former Broncos assistant and Arkansas State coach Bryan Harsin for next season, but linebackers coach Bob Gregory will lead the team in the bowl game on Tuesday. Boise State went 92-12 and won a pair of BCS bowl games in 8 seasons under Peterson. The Broncos have won 4 straight bowl games, but failed to reach the 10-win mark for the first time since 2005, the year Peterson took over. QB Joe Southwick, who missed four games with a broken ankle, returned to start in the regular-season finale but was pulled after throwing for a touchdown on the opening drive. QB Grant Hedrick, who stepped up with 15 touchdowns passes and 5 interceptions in Southwick’s absence, went the rest of the way for Boise State and will start in the bowl game. The Broncos offense averaged over 470 yards and over 38 points per game this season. The Boise State defense allowed an average of 410 yards and 23.8 points per game this season.

The Beavers of Oregon State finished 6-6 overall and 4-5 in the Pac-12 Conference this season. Oregon State averaged 43.8 points during a six-game win streak, but has seen that mark fall to 21 per game during its five-game skid. QB Sean Mannion ranks 2nd in the country after throwing for 4,403 yards this season. Mannion averaged 427.4 yards passing and 4.1 touchdowns during the Beavers 6-1 start, but has seen those number drop to 282.2 and 1.4 during the losing streak. Mannion’s main target is WR Brandin Cooks, who set a Pac-12 record with 120 receptions and an FBS-high 1,670 yrds receiving this season. The Beavers have the 120th ranked rushing attack this season, but they generated 231 yards rushing against Oregon when they played in November. The Beavers defense is allowing 428.2 yards and 32.1 points per game this season.

These two teams played back in 2010 where Boise State won 37-24. Boise State, who ranks 93rd in pass defense this season, may be in for a long night on Tuesday against Mannion and company. However, it will be interesting to see which Oregon State team shows up in Hawaii. Will the team that won six games in a row and averaged over 43 points show up, or will the team who averaged 21 points per game during a five game losing streak get off the plane? I think the Beavers will be focused to take down Boise State and take advantage of a weak secondary. Meanwhile, Hendrick and the Broncos will score on an average defense at best in Oregon State. I think this game will be close and a turnover late might be the deciding factor. I’ll side with the Broncos in what could be a high scoring game.

 

Ryan's Pick: Boise State +3, Over 64


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