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Written by Mark Roberts on December 15, 2013

BCS Championship Game Florida State Seminoles vs. Auburn Tigers Pick-Odds-Prediction - 1/6/14: Mark's Free College Football Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

Florida State and Auburn decide the National Championship on January 6th at the Rose Bowl.

The Auburn Tigers and Florida State Seminoles battle for the National Championship at the Rose Bowl.


Florida State has completed one of the most dominant seasons I can remember with all 13 wins coming by double digits with a 14 point victory the closest anyone has come. The Seminoles could win in any manner of ways with an offense that scored in bunches or a defense that allowed more then 17 points just once. The Noles gave up 268 yards and a mere 10.7 points which was tops in the land which combined with the top rated pass D and #13 run defense which meant moving the ball was not a picnic. That meant the offense didn't need to do much but they did at 529 yards and 53 points with the ability to run and pass anywhere at anytime. Heisman winner Jameis Winston completed nearly 68% of his throws fot 3,820 yards with 38 TD's and ten picks with Rashad Greene, Kelvin Benjamin and Kerry Shaw each totaling over 900 yards in receptions. When the Noles decided to run Devonta Freeman (162-943), Karlos Williams (86-705) and James Wilder Jr. (78-542) giving the rushing attack three quality options.


Auburn has some very impressive credentials with a loss to LSU the only thing standing between them and perfection. Good fortune has had a hand as well with last second victories over Georgia and Alabama but sometimes you make your own fortune. The Tigers have been battle tested with six games decided by a single score. Auburn did give up 424 yards defensively but generally kept the scoreboard manageable with 24 points although this unit could be passed on. The offense was deadly efficient with 505 yards and 43 points behind a potent ground attack that piled up 336 yards to rank number one in the game. Even though putting the ball in the air was not something this offense was known for Nick Marshall was a solid 60% passer with 1,759 yards with 12 scores and six interceptions. Sammie Coates was the receiver of choice with 38 receptions for 841 yards and seven TD's and the only pass catcher that totaled over 300 yards. Tre Mason paced the potent ground game with 1,621 yards on 283 carries with Marshall using his legs to total 1,023 yards on 156 totes while Corey Grant and Cameron Artis-Payne combined for over 1,200 yards.


The spread seems a tad high for a title game between teams that can match scores which has me thinking that this will be dominated by offense with Auburn running the ball and FSU doing a little of everything. Right now I'll side with the over...

 

Mark's Pick: over 66


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