Purdue Boilermakers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/13/14
Purdue Boilermakers (1-1) at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 13, 2014 at 7:30 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)
The Line: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -28.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Purdue Boilermakers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish meet at Lucas Oil Stadium Saturday night on NBC.
The Purdue Boilermakers are coming off a brutal loss to Central Michigan, as they continue to try and form an identity. So far it’s been the same old Purdue that struggles to do just about anything right. Starting quarterback Danny Etling is completing just 51.4 percent of his passes, and the Boilermakers are 73rd in the country in points scored. Purdue’s offensive strength is running back Raheem Mostert, who has 199 rushing yards on 41 carries, giving the Boilermakers a decent running game to lean on. Other than that, Purdue really isn’t scaring anybody offensively. Defensively, the Purdue Boilermakers are allowing 394.5 yards per game and six yards per play. Landon Feichter leads Purdue with 13 tackles and Ryan Watson has two tackles for loss.
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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish got their impressive with with a blowout victory over the Michigan Wolverines. Although it’s still early in the season, Notre Dame appears to be back with Everett Golson completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 521 yards and five touchdowns. Golson is taking care of the ball and has become more of a playmaker than game manager. Notre Dame has two receivers with more than 100 receiving yards, and the running game is averaging 4.6 yards per pop. For the first time in a while, the Fighting Irish have a balanced offense that is more than capable of doing some damage. Defensively, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are allowing 328 yards per game and 4.9 yards per play. Joe Schmidt leads the Irish with 15 tackles and Max Redfield is one of four different Notre Dame players with an interception.
The Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
I know Notre Dame should crush Purdue, but four of the last five meetings between these two teams have been decided by 11 or less points. The Irish have had a history under Brian Kelly to not blow teams out. Notre Dame is also coming off a monster win over Michigan and could be due for a bet of a letdown.
Regardless, four touchdowns is simply too much to leave off the table. I’m going with Purdue.