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Texas Longhorns vs. UCLA Bruins CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/13/14

UCLA Bruins (2-0) at Texas Longhorns (1-1)

College Football: Saturday, September 13, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Texas Longhorns +7.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The UCLA Bruins and Texas Longhorns meet Saturday night at AT&T Stadium for an out of conference game.

The UCLA Bruins are 2-0 but have been anything but special in their close victories over Virginia and Memphis. The main issue for the Bruins right now is their defense that ranks 11th in the Pac-12 with an average of 427 yards allowed. There’s no excuse for a talented UCLA defense to allow 35 points to the Memphis Tigers. Nevertheless, Eric Kendricks leads UCLA with 26 tackles, while Myles Jack has 19 tackles and two passes broken up. Offensively, Brett Hundley has done a solid job of completing 68.8 percent of his passes, but a running game that is averaging just 3.3 yards per carry doesn’t help him at all. Paul Perkins is the only UCLA running back who’s accomplishing anything, as he leads the Bruins with 178 rushing yards. Needless to say, it’s been a rocky start for the Bruins despite their record.

Texas Longhorns vs. UCLA Bruins CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/13/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Longhorns were embarrassed by the BYU Cougars in week 2, losing, 41-7. The loss of quarterback David Ash didn’t help matters, but Tyrone Swoopes looked decent in his first career start, completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 176 yards and a touchdown. The problem is that Swoopes didn’t get any help, as the Longhorns ground game averaged just 2.3 yards per carry and the defense allowed 429 yards and 28 third quarter points. It’s safe to assume that Ash won’t be back anytime soon, so the Texas Longhorns better get comfortable with what they’ve got. Jonathan Gray and Malcolm Brown have to carry more of the load offensively if this team is going to have any success. Defensively, Jordan Hicks leads the Longhorns with 16 tackles, and Malcom Brown has three tackles for loss.

 

The Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September. The Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pac-12 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. 

This is one of those games that’s tough to judge. Texas is the tougher team, especially on defense, but I don’t trust the Longhorns offense with their current quarterback situation.

I’m not overly confident on this matchup, but I’m going to take the Longhorns and the points simply because I think they’re more physical than the Bruins. I also believe that the home field advantage of playing in Texas is a big edge.

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Texas Longhorns +7.5

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