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Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/27/14

Duke Blue Devils (4-0) at Miami Hurricanes (2-2)

College Football: Saturday, September 27, 2014 at 7:30 pm (Sun Life Stadium)

The Line: Miami Hurricanes -7 -- Over/Under: 60 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Duke Blue Devils and Miami Hurricanes will play Saturday night at Sun Life Stadium.

The Duke Blue Devils have won 12 straight regular season games and hope to pick up their first big win of the season here. Duke has become more of a running offense this season, averaging 6.4 yards per carry and led by Shaun Wilson, who has 404 rushing yards and four touchdowns on only 28 carries. The Blue Devils have five different players who have at least one rushing touchdown and they have 10 rushing plays that have produced 20 or more yards. Quarterback Anthony Boone is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 876 yards and seven touchdowns. Even without Kurt Roper calling the shots this season, Duke has scored no less than 34 points in each of its first four games this season. Defensively, the Duke Blue Devils are allowing 353 yards per game and have forced seven turnovers and 10 sacks. David Helton leads Duke with 42 tackles and Jordan DeWalt-Ondijo has two sacks.

Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/27/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Hurricanes look to bounce back from their loss to the Nebraska Cornhuskers but need to get more production from their ground game. Duke Johnson is averaging a solid 6.1 yards per carry and has scored in three straight games, but nobody behind him is doing anything. The Hurricanes are ranked 103rd in the country in rushing yards, which puts a lot of pressure on a young quarterback in Brad Kaaya. Speaking of Kaaya, he’s completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Kaaya is clearly improving and is gaining confidence with seven touchdowns in his last two games, but he needs to take better care of the football. Defensively, the Miami Hurricanes are allowing 308.8 yards per game and have forced eight turnovers and 11 sacks. Denzel Perryman leads the Hurricanes with 31 tackles and Thurston Armbrister has four sacks.

The Blue Devils are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. 

The Hurricanes have been brutal against the spread and frankly haven't played well enough this season to deserve such a healthy number. The crowd also plays little factor here given the fact Sun Life provides one of the worst home field advantages in all of football. Duke has looked solid this season and has won 12 straight regular season games. I'll take the free touchdown in what should be a close game. 

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Duke Blue Devils +7

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