Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/27/14
Baylor Bears (3-0) at Iowa State Cyclones (1-2)
College Football: Saturday, September 27, 2014 at 8:20 pm (Jack Trice Stadium)
The Line: Iowa State Cyclones +21 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Baylor Bears and Iowa State Cyclones play Saturday night at Jack Trice Stadium.
The Baylor Bears have yet to be tested in their first three games and are first in the country with 59.3 points scored per game and second with nine points allowed. It’s been business as usual for Baylor, a team that has produced 27 passing plays of 15 or more yards and is averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Bryce Petty is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for six touchdowns and zero interceptions, while Shock Linwood and Johnny Jefferson have combined for more than 400 rushing yards and six touchdowns. Baylor remains arguably the best offensive team in the country and despite injuries to several wide receivers, including Levi Norwood, the Bears can still drop 50 points at the drop of a hat and cover just about any spread. Defensively, the Baylor Bears are allowing 221 yards and have forced five turnovers and 15 sacks. Bryce Hager leads Baylor with 19 tackles and Shawn Oakman has three sacks.
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The Iowa State Cyclones saved their season with an upset win over the Iowa Hawkeyes and can really turn heads with a win here. Iowa State is a team that doesn't do anything particularly well but scratches and claws its way throughout a game to remain competitive. Offensively, Iowa State relies heavily on quarterback Sam B. Richardson, who is completing 68 percent of his passes for three touchdowns and three interceptions, and he also leads the team with 119 rushing yards. Besides Richardson, Iowa State struggles heavily offensively to move the chains and is converting just 37.8 percent on third down attempts. Defensively, the Iowa State Cyclones are allowing 417.3 yards per game and have forced two turnovers and seven sacks. Jevohn Miller leads Iowa State with 29 tackles and Cory Morrissey has 4.5 tackles for loss.
The Bears are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Cyclones are 3-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa State.
Iowa State is one of those teams that always plays up to its competition each season and usually pulls off an upset or two. We saw it already with Iowa and nearly Kansas State this season. Don’t ask me how the Cyclones are going to keep this game close, just look at their past history against above-average teams. Besides, Baylor hasn’t won in Iowa State since 2005. Give me the Cyclones and the points at home.