Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/27/14
Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1) at Purdue Boilermakers (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, September 27, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Purdue Boilermakers play Saturday afternoon at Ross-Ade Stadium.
The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off a big upset win over the Pittsburgh Panthers and have shown they won’t go down quietly in the Big Ten. While the Hawkeyes offense still tries to figure itself out, it’s their run defense that is allowing 95.5 yards that is keeping Iowa competitive. Overall, the Iowa Hawkeyes are allowing 349 yards a game and have forced five turnovers and eight sacks. Louis Trinca-Pasat leads Iowa with 31 tackles and Drew Ott has 4.5 tackles for loss. Offense is still a work in progress for the Hawkeyes, who are averaging 3.7 yards per carry and pretty much a one-man backfield with Mark Weisman leading the way. Jake Rudock is completing nearly 67 percent of his passes for five touchdowns and two interceptions, but he’s questionable for this game with a knee injury. Regardless, Iowa has just nine passing plays of more than 15 yards. The Iowa Hawkeyes are what they’ve been for years, not a flashy team but a squad that just finds ways to win.
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The Purdue Boilermakers are 2-2, which is already an improvement over last year’s one-win season. But now isn’t the time to celebrate if you’re a Purdue fan. The Boilermakers aren’t getting great production out of either side of the ball, especially their defense that has allowed 30 or more points in three of their first four games. Overall, the Purdue Boilermakers are allowing 379.3 yards per game and have forced five turnovers and 11 sacks. Landon Feichter lads Purdue with 33 tackles and Ryan Watson has four sacks. Offensively is also a struggle for Purdue, as quarterback Danny Etling is completing just 57.4 percent of his passes for four interceptions and six touchdowns, while the ground game is managing 4.1 yards per carry. Akeem Hunt is off to the best start of his career with 179 rushing yards and he’s proven to be a valuable weapon in the passing game.
The Hawkeyes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. The Boilermakers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Iowa is simply the tougher and more talented team of the two, and Purdue has yet to show it can hang with any team from a major conference. The Hawkeyes have the better defense and a power running game that should give Purdue trouble in the second half. I like Iowa to win this game by two touchdowns.