Northwestern Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 10/4/14
Wisconsin Badgers (3-1) at Northwestern Wildcats (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 4, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Ryan Field)
The Line: Northwestern Wildcats +9.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Wisconsin Badgers and Northwestern Wildcats meet Saturday afternoon at Ryan Field.
This will be the Wisconsin Badgers first true road game of the season and it’ll be a place where they haven’t won since 1999. Wisconsin has been cruising since its opening week loss to the LSU Tigers, and it’s mainly due to a ground game that’s averaging seven yards per pop. Melvin Gordon has 612 rushing yards and eight touchdowns on 78 carries, making him a Heisman candidate as 10 of those touches have produced 20 or more yards. Corey Clement and Tanner McEvoy have also chipped in more than 500 yards and five touchdowns, giving the Badgers the fourth best rushing attack in the country. As far as throwing the ball, McEvoy hasn’t had to do much, as he’s completing 59.3 percent of his passes for four interceptions and five touchdowns. Last week’s win over the South Florida Bulls was the first game McEvoy did not throw an interception. Defensively, the Wisconsin Badgers are allowing 260.8 yards per game and have forced seven turnovers and 10 sacks. Michael Caputo leads Wisconsin with 26 tackles and Derek Landisch has three sacks.
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Northwestern Wildcats have found their groove a bit and are coming off an upset victory over the Penn State Nittany Lions on the road. Northwestern is being led by a defense that has allowed just 13 points in its last two games and is allowing 364.3 yards per game. Northwestern has forced eight turnovers, 12 sacks and is holding opponents to under 32 percent on third down. Chi Chi Ariguzo leads Northwestern with 35 tackles and Dean Lowry has four sacks. Offensively the Northwestern Wildcats are still a work in progress, as quarterback Trevor Siemian is completing 58.5 percent of his passes for four interceptions and two touchdowns, while the ground game is averaging just three yards per carry. Justin Jackson leads Northwestern with 234 rushing yards and Dan Vitale has 216 receiving yards on 18 catches.
The Badgers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wildcats are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The home team is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings, while the Badgers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Northwestern.
Northwestern is still a shaky team and is due for a letdown after picking up a shocking win last week over Penn State. It's no secret that Wisconsin is the better team in this matchup on both sides of the ball and should simply wear down the Wildcats over the course of 60 minutes. I like the Wisconsin Badgers to win by double digits.