BYU Cougars at UCF Knights - 10/9/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction
BYU Cougars (4-1) at Central Florida Knights (2-2)
College Football: Thursday, October 9, 2014 at 7:30 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)
The Line: Central Florida Knights -2.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 See the Latest Odds
The BYU Cougars and UCF Knights will square off Thursday night at the Bright House Networks Stadium.
The BYU Cougars looked like a possible playoff team until quarterback Taysom Hill broke his leg. BYU will now turn to senior quarterback Christian Stewart, who has just 31 pass attempts in his career. With BYU’s offense now a gigantic question mark, expect the Cougars to rely heavily on running back Jamaal Williams in this matchup, as he’s second on the team with 398 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Williams has topped 100 rushing yards in two of his last three games. Jordan Leslie and Mitch Mathews do much of BYU’s damage on the outside, as the two receivers have combined for 47 receptions, over 600 yards and four touchdowns. Although it’s going to be interesting if the Cougars even try to throw the ball here. Defensively, the BYU Cougars are allowing 22 points, 382.8 yards, and they’ve forced nine turnovers and 10 sacks. Craig Bills leads BYU with 35 tackles and Alani Fua has three sacks.
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The UCF Knights have won back-to-back games and will play just their second true home game of the season. UCF is a team that relies heavily on its defense to bail out the team, as the Knights are allowing 20.8 points, 334.3 yards, and they’ve forced seven turnovers and 14 sacks. The UCF Knights have 11 sacks in their last two games. Terrance Plummer leads UCF with 36 tackles and Thomas Niles has six tackles for loss. Offensively, Justin Holman is completing 54.4 percent of his passes for six touchdowns and two interceptions. Receiver J.J. Worton, who leads UCF with 10 receptions, is questionable for this game with an arm injury. Central Florida is averaging just 2.8 yards per carry and William Stanback is the only player with 100 or more rushing yards this season.
The Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Taysom Hill was BYU's entire offense and considering Stewart threw three interceptions when he played last week, I have no faith in the Cougars offense. UCF has one of the better defenses in the country and should be jacked up at home under the bright lights. This one could get ugly.