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Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions - 10/11/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction

Penn State Nittany Lions (4-1) at Michigan Wolverines (2-4)

College Football: Saturday, October 11, 2014 at 7:00 pm (Michigan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan Wolverines -1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan Wolverines play Saturday night at Michigan Stadium.

The Penn State Nittany Lions have had two weeks to prepare for this game and forget about their loss to the Northwestern Wildcats. Penn State is just two wins away from clinching a bowl berth and has been led by its defense. Overall, the Penn State Nittany Lions are allowing 14.6 points, 288.8 yards, and they’ve forced eight turnovers and 13 sacks. Mike Hull leads Penn State with 53 tackles and Anthony Zettel has seven tackles for loss. Offensively, it’s been a struggle for the Nittany Lions, as Christian Hackenberg hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass in three straight games and is completing just 57.9 percent of his passes. Penn State’s ground game is averaging just 3.1 yards per carry and not a single runner has a 100-yard performance yet this season. DaeSean Hamilton and Geno Lewis have been the Nittany Lions biggest playmakers, as they’ve combined for 997 receiving yards and one touchdown.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions - 10/11/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction

The Michigan Wolverines have lost three straight and Brady Hoke is coming closer than ever to getting fired. With Shane Morris still banged up, Devin Gardner will remain Michigan’s quarterback and while he hasn’t thrown a touchdown in three consecutive games, he has rushed for three scores in his last two games. The concern now for the Wolverines offensively is that Derrick Green, Michigan’s leading rusher with 471 yards, is out for the remainder of the season. Now, De'Veon Smith will lead the way for Michigan’s ground game, and he has four rushing touchdowns. Devin Funchess has caught no less than four passes in each game this season but hasn’t scored since the opening week. Defensively, the Michigan Wolverines are allowing 22.8 points, 315.5 yards, and they’ve forced two turnovers and 12 sacks. Joe Bolden leads Michigan with 48 tackles and Frank Clark has 6.5 tackles for loss.

The Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings, while the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 

The Michigan Wolverines are a complete mess right now and are at the bottom of college football with 15 turnovers. Meanwhile, the Penn State Nittany Lions are playing inspired football and have had an extra week to prepare for this game. I'm not sure how the Wolverines are the slight favorite, especially considering they opened up as an underdog. However, give me the better coached team in Penn State and the one point. 

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Penn State Nittany Lions +1

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