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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans - 10/11/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction

Michigan State Spartans (4-1) at Purdue Boilermakers (3-3)

College Football: Saturday, October 11, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)

The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +23.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Michigan State Spartans will travel to Ross-Ade Stadium to play the Purdue Boilermakers on Saturday.

The Michigan State Spartans are coming off an impressive win over the Nebraska Cornhuskers and are looking to runaway with the Big Ten East title. Michigan State continues to rely on a defense that has allowed 24 or less points in eight of its last nine games. Overall, the Michigan State Spartans are allowing 20.6 points, 297 yards, and have forced 16 turnovers and 20 sacks. Kurtis Drummond leads Michigan State with 24 tackles and Marcus Rush has six tackles for loss. Offensively, Connor Cook continues to show improvement by completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Michigan State is 10-1 SU when Cook throws two or more touchdowns. Jeremy Langford leads the Spartans with 451 yards and four touchdowns, as Michigan State is averaging 4.9 yards per carry. On the outside, Tony Lippett and Josiah Price have combined for more than 600 yards and nine touchdown receptions for MSU.

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans - 10/11/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction


The Purdue Boilermakers are just three wins away from becoming bowl eligible after just one win last season. In a win last week over Illinois, Austin Appleby completed 75 percent of his passes for a touchdown, giving a Purdue offense a much needed boost. There’s no word on whether Appleby or Danny Etling will get the nod in this game. Regardless, Akeem Hunt is coming off his first 100-yard performance and receiver Danny Anthrop has caught a touchdown in two of his last three games. Purdue is starting to show a little more promise on the offensive side of the ball and is a decent 10-6 SU in their last 16 games when scoring 21 or more points. Defensively, the Purdue Boilermakers are allowing 27.7 points, 408.7 yards, and they’ve forced eight turnovers and 16 sacks. Landon Feichter leads Purdue with 56 tackles and Ryan Watson has four sacks.

The Spartans are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games. The Boilermakers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Spartans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Purdue, while the underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

While Michigan State is the much better team, Purdue has shown some fight this season by hanging around with Notre Dame and Iowa. The Boilermakers are also coming off their first true road win since November of 2012. Meanwhile, the Spartans may have a bit of a letdown going on the road a week after a big win over Nebraska. Simply put, 23.5 points are way too much for me to pass up in this Big Ten showdown. 

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Purdue Boilermakers +23.5

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