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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Kansas State Wildcats - 10/18/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction

Kansas State Wildcats (4-1) at Oklahoma Sooners (5-1)

College Football: Saturday

The Line: Oklahoma Sooners -8.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Kansas State Wildcats and Oklahoma Sooners play a critical Big 12 matchup Saturday at Memorial Stadium.

The Kansas State Wildcats need this win if they hope to convince voters they’re for real as their only good opponent was a six-point loss to the Auburn Tigers. Offensively, Kansas State goes as far as Jake Waters carries the team, as he’s completing 65 percent of his passes for seven touchdowns and three interceptions, and he leads the Wildcats with 320 rushing yards and six scores. Kansas State is 10-2 SU when Waters scores two total touchdowns. Kansas State is a two-man show at wide receiver, as Tyler Lockett and Curry Sexton have combined for 57 of Kansas State’s 97 receptions and five of the Wildcats eight touchdown catches. Running back Charles Jones has rushed for 50-plus yards and at least one touchdown in four of Kansas State’s five games. Kansas State may need Jones to top 100 yards here if it’s going to pull off the upset. Defensively, the Kansas State Wildcats are allowing 21 points, 315.8 yards, and they’ve forced seven turnovers and seven sacks. Jonathan Truman leads Kansas State with 43 tackles and Elijah Lee has 2.5 sacks.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Kansas State Wildcats - 10/18/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction


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The Oklahoma Sooners hope to win their 11th straight home game and improve to 6-1 on the season. The Sooners have struggled the last two games and it really comes down to subpar quarterback play, as Trevor Knight is completing just 55.1 percent of his passes for six touchdowns and five interceptions. In Knight’s last two games, he’s completing 47.2 percent of his passes for two touchdowns and two picks. Oklahoma is being saved by freshman running back Samaje Perine, who has scored eight touchdowns in his last three games and leads the Sooners with 568 yards. At wide receiver, Sterling Shepard has scored in back-to-back games and leads Oklahoma with 714 yards on 34 catches. Defensively, the Oklahoma Sooners are allowing 21.5 points, 391.7 yards, and they’ve forced 15 turnovers and 16 sacks. Jordan Evans leads Oklahoma with 33 solo tackles and Eric Striker has 8.5 tackles for loss.

The Wildcats are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Oklahoma, while the underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

I just don't trust the Oklahoma Sooners and think they're overrated. If a mediocre Texas team can give the Sooners a run for their money, a disciplined and well-coached Kansas State team should be able to do the same. Give me as many points as possible, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Wildcats came out of this game with the SU victory.

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Kansas State Wildcats +8.5

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