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South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans Pick-Odds-Prediction - 10/24/14

Troy Trojans (1-6) at South Alabama Jaguars (4-2)

College Football: Friday

The Line: South Alabama Jaguars -12 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN U HD

The Troy Trojans hope to right the ship when they visit the South Alabama Jaguars in week nine action.


A week after crushing New Mexico State after HC Larry Blakeney announced his retirement the Troy Trojans went through the motions in a 53-14 loss to visiting Appalachian State Saturday. The Mountaineers scored early and often as they posted 551 yards behind a bruising ground game that totaled 441 yards. The Trojans couldn't compete with those numbers with 308 yards and four turnovers. Brandon Burks, Dontreal Pruitt and Tim Longmire combined for 79 yards on 13 carries but that was the extent of the Trojans action on the ground. Brandon Silvers completed 20-30 throws for 156 yards and a pair of interceptions with Pruitt coming in to throw for 73 yards and give Troy a bit of a dual threat although not enough to make a difference.

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans Pick-Odds-Prediction - 10/24/14

USA TODAY Sports


The South Alabama Jaguars picked up their third consecutive victory by a 30-27 count over Georgia State as a 20 point favorite in what didn't seem like an inspired performance. The defensive minded Jaguars reached the 30 point plateau for the third week in a row as they totaled 447 yards behind a run heavy attack that totaled 321 yards and nearly six yards per touch. It was a good thing the Jaguars could run because their passing was abysmal with Brandon Bridge connecting on only 11-32 for 126 yards with 15 yard and 18 yard touchdown throws to Shavarez Smith and Danny Woodson respectively. Fortunately Bridge was more productive with his legs with 137 yards and a TD including a 65 yard jaunt. Jay Jones added another 71 yards while Xavier Johnson and Kendall Houston combined for 113 yards to give USA four quality rushing options.

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The Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after running for less then 100 yards in their previous contest with the over going 8-0 in their past eight games in October while the over is 6-1 in Troy's last seven games when allowing less then 170 yards in their previous contest. The under is 6-0 in South Alabama's last six games following an ATS defeat with the Jaguars going 4-0 ATS in their last four after allowing more then 280 passing yards in their previous contest while the over is 7-0-1 in their past eight October games.

Troy has won both previous games and is 1-1 ATS with the over going 1-1 as well. The Trojans are a mystery as they are completely capable of covering but I have no clue what their motivation is. The Jaguars are the better team and should get the job done depending on what mood Troy is in...

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South Alabama Jaguars -12

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