South Florida at Cincinnati - 10/24/14 CFB Pick, Odds, Prediction
South Florida Bulls (3-4) at Cincinnati Bearcats (3-3)
College Football: Friday
The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats -10.5 -- Over/Under: 60 See the Latest Odds
The South Florida Bulls and Cincinnati Bearcats square off Friday night at Paul Brown Stadium.
The South Florida Bulls are looking to win two straight for the first time this season and improve to 2-1 on the road. Offensively, South Florida lives and dies with freshman Marlon Mack, who leads the Bulls with 727 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Mack is coming off a 130-yard performance, and South Florida has won all three games when he’s topped 100 rushing yards. Mike White is completing just 47.6 percent of his passes for six touchdowns and five interceptions. In his last two games, White has four touchdowns and two picks. South Florida has 15 passing plays of 25 or more yards and four receivers with double-digit receptions. Andre Davis leads South Florida with 322 receiving yards and four touchdowns, while Rodney Adams has 18 receptions for 248 yards. Defensively, the South Florida Bulls are allowing 29 points, 418.3 yards, and they’ve forced 14 turnovers and 15 sacks. Jamie Byrd leads South Florida with 52 tackles and is questionable with a hip injury, while Elkino Watson has 6.5 tackles for loss.
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The Cincinnati Bearcats snapped a three-game losing streak last week and hope to keep the momentum going. In order to do that, the Bearcats have to improve their defense. Cincinnati is allowing 34.5 points, 524 yards, and has forced 10 turnovers and 18 sacks. The Bearcats have lost six of their last nine games when allowing 24 or more points. Jeff Luc leads Cincinnati with 75 tackles and Terrell Hartsfield has five tackles for loss. Offensively, Gunner Kiel leads the way, as he’s completing 59.4 percent for 19 touchdowns and six interceptions. Cincinnati has 16 passing plays of 25 or more yards and is averaging close to 14 yards per catch. Chris Moore and Mekale McKay have combined for nearly 800 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. Rodriguez Moore leads Cincinnati with 143 rushing yards and three touchdowns.
The Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win. The Bearcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
Don't let the records fool you. South Florida went toe-to-toe with Wisconsin and East Carolina. The Bulls play decent defense and while their offense is terrible, it should be able to move the ball somewhat against a Cincy defense that is one of the worst in the league. I think South Florida can keep this game close, which is why I'm taking the points.