Missouri vs. Kentucky - 11/1/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kentucky Wildcats (5-3) at Missouri Tigers (6-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 1, 2014 at 4:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Missouri Tigers -7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: SEC Network
The Missouri Tigers and the Kentucky Wildcats face off on Saturday in a SEC college football matchup.
The Missouri Tigers have lacked consistency this season with some weeks having them look like world beaters and others having them fall flat on their faces. The Missouri offense is averaging 29.9 points and 331.4 yards and they are led by QB Maty Mauk who has completed 52 percent of his passes with 16 touchdown passes but he also has thrown nine interceptions. Russell Hansbrough leads the Mizzou ground attack with 572 yards and seven touchdowns and Bid Sasser is the Tigers leading receiver with 40 receptions and six touchdowns. The Missouri defense allows 20.5 points and 350.9 yards per game and they have sacked opposing QB’s 28 times. Michael Scherer has 70 tackles, Shane Ray has 10 sacks, and Braylon Webb has four interceptions. Missouri is coming off of a win against Vandy.
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The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off of back-to-back losses against two of the more physical teams: LSU and Mississippi State. Kentucky needs two more wins to become bowl eligible but we will see what they have in the tank for this week. The Kentucky offense is averaging 31.6 points and 426.5 yards led by QB Patrick Towles who has completed 60.1 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. Jojo Kemp leads the UK ground attack averaging 5.0 yards per carry with four touchdowns and Braylon Heard is averaging 6.5 yards per carry and Ryan Timmons has 36 receptions to lead all receivers and Demarco Robinson has 24 catches. The Kentucky defense allows 24.8 points and 377.6 yards per game while sacking opposing QB’s 21 times. Josh Forrest has 65 tackles and two interceptions, Alvin Dupree has 45 tackles and 4.0 sacks, and A.J. Stamps has 38 tackles and three interceptions. Kentucky has come a long way but it is clear they still have some recruiting classes to go to compete with the best teams in the SEC.
Missouri is 4-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 15-61-1 against the spread in their last 22 games overall, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games. Kentucky is 5-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games, and 1-4 against the spread following a loss.
Missouri has had their worst games this season at home and Kentucky has just had two very tough games which could have taken their toll but I will take the points in a game that is really just a lean.