Nebraska vs. Purdue - 11/1/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Purdue Boilermakers (3-5) at Nebraska Cornhuskers (7-1)
College Football: Saturday, November 1, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Nebraska Cornhuskers -23.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Purdue Boilermakers and Nebraska Cornhuskers meet Saturday at Memorial Stadium.
The Purdue Boilermakers have lost three of their last four games but have had an extra week to prepare for this matchup. The main issue with Purdue is its defense that’s allowing 31.3 points, 429.3 yards, and has forced 10 turnovers and 16 sacks. The Purdue Boilermakers have lost 14 of their last 15 games when allowing 28 or more points. Landon Feichter leads Purdue with 69 tackles and Ryan Watson has four sacks. Offensively, Austin Appleby is completing 60.4 percent of his passes for six touchdowns and four interceptions. In his last two games, Appleby has five total touchdowns and three picks. Danny Anthrop and Justin Sinz have combined for 58 receptions, more than 700 receiving yards and five touchdowns. DeAngelo Yancey has also caught a touchdown pass in three of his last six games. Purdue’s ground game is its strength, as it’s averaging 5.2 yards per carry, and Akeem Hunt leads the way with 640 yards and five touchdowns.
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The Nebraska Cornhuskers look to remain undefeated at home and get one step closer to the Big Ten Championship. Nebraska’s bread and butter continues to be its ground game that’s averaging 6.2 yards per carry and has produced 22 runs of 20 or more yards. Ameer Abdullah and Tommy Armstrong Jr. have combined for 1,750 yards and 20 touchdowns. In his last two games, Abdullah has racked up 371 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, as Nebraska is 7-3 SU when he rushes for at least two scores. Armstrong Jr. is completing 54.5 percent of his passes for 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. He’s coming off his best game yet in which he scored three total touchdowns in a win over Rutgers. Kenny Bell and Jordan Westerkamp have combined for 63 receptions, more than 1,000 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, the Nebraska Cornhuskers are allowing 20.4 points, 339.8 yards, and they’ve forced 12 turnovers and 18 sacks. Zaire Anderson leads Nebraska with 52 tackles and Randy Gregory has 5.5 sacks.
The Boilermakers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November. The Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
I really hate laying such a big number, even with Nebraska at home. However, Purdue hasn't shown us much this season and doesn't have anybody on the defensive side who can slow down the Cornhuskers elite ground game. I don't love the number, but Purdue gives me no choice.