Iowa vs. Wisconsin - 11/22/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Wisconsin Badgers (8-2) at Iowa Hawkeyes (7-3)
College Football: Saturday, November 22, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Kinnick Stadium)
The Line: Iowa Hawkeyes +9.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC, ESPN2
The Wisconsin Badgers and Iowa Hawkeyes square off Saturday at Kinnick Stadium.
The Wisconsin Badgers simply crushed the Nebraska Cornhuskers last week and now control their own destiny in the Big Ten. Wisconsin relies on a running game that’s averaging 7.5 yards per carry and has produced 44 running plays of 20 or more yards. Melvin Gordon leads the way with 1,909 yards and 23 touchdowns, and he just broke the single-game record for more rushing yards last week. Nebraska has won seven straight when rushing for at least two scores. Joel Stave is completing 54.8 percent of his passes for six touchdowns and four interceptions. Stave has three touchdowns and one pick in his last three games. Alex Erickson and Sam Arneson have combined for more than 700 receiving yards and seven touchdowns, while Kenzel Doe has five of his 12 catches in his last two games. Defensively, the Wisconsin Badgers are allowing 15.3 points, 244 yards, and they’ve forced 32 sacks and 15 turnovers. Michael Caputo leads Wisconsin with 70 tackles and Vince Biegel has 14 tackles for loss.
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The Iowa Hawkeyes have split their last four games and are 4-1 SU at home. Iowa relies on a defense that’s allowing 22.5 points, 324.6 yards, and has forced 23 sacks and 13 turnovers. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won five straight games when holding a team under 30 points. John Lowdermilk leads Iowa with 78 tackles and Drew Ott has 11.5 tackles for loss. Offensively, Jake Rudock is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. Rudock has four touchdowns and one pick in his last four games, and Iowa has 19 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Tevaun Smith and Kevonte Martin-Manley have combined for more than 800 receiving yards and three touchdowns, while Ray Hamilton is coming off a two-touchdown performance. Iowa’s ground game is averaging 4.1 yards per carry and is led by Mark Weisman, who has 676 yards and 14 touchdowns.
The Badgers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Hawkeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Badgers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings, while the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Five of the last seven meetings between these two teams have been decided by 10 or less points, and Iowa has won three of those games outright. While Wisconsin's ground game is insane, Iowa's strength happens to be its defense and ability to stop the run. Look for the Hawkeyes to keep this game a lot closer than Nebraska did last week.