Michigan State vs. Rutgers - 11/22/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (6-4) at Michigan State Spartans (8-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 22, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan State Spartans -21.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and Michigan State Spartans play Saturday afternoon at Spartan Stadium.
After clinching a bowl game last week, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights look for their third road win of the season. Gary Nova is completing 58.2 percent of his passes for 16 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Nova has three touchdowns and two picks in his last three games, and Rutgers has 27 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Leonte Carroo and Andrew Turzilli have combined for more than 1,200 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Tyler Kroft has five of his 17 receptions in his last two games. Turzilli is questionable for this game with a hamstring injury. Rutgers ground game is averaging four yards per carry, as Desmon Peoples leads the way with 447 yards and three touchdowns. Rutgers is 3-0 SU this season when topping 200 rushing yards. Defensively, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights are allowing 28.8 points, 427.8 yards, and they’ve forced 30 sacks and 14 turnovers. Steve Longa leads Rutgers with 74 tackles and Kemoko Turay has 7.5 sacks.
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Winning these next two games would give the Michigan State Spartans their fourth double-digit winning season in the last five years. Michigan State’s defense is allowing 22.6 points, 305.5 yards, and has forced 33 sacks and 28 turnovers. The Michigan State Spartans have won 17 games when allowing 30 or less points. Kurtis Drummond leads MSU with 53 tackles and Shilique Calhoun has 11 tackles for loss. Connor Cook is completing 58 percent of his passes for 19 touchdowns and five interceptions. Cook has three touchdowns and zero picks in his last three games, and Michigan State has 22 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Tony Lippett and Josiah Price have more than 1,300 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Keith Mumphery has five of his 15 catches in his last two games. Michigan State’s ground game is averaging 5.3 yards per carry and Jeremy Langford leads the way with 1,116 yards and 15 touchdowns.
The Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in November. The Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games and 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
I'm not sure what to make of this game due to both teams looking to end the season strong and head into the bowl season with some momentum. Don't love the pick, but I'm taking Rutgers and the points simply because they've been money all season ATS on the road and have a defense that can make enough plays to keep this thing close.