Iowa vs. Nebraska - 11/28/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Nebraska Cornhuskers (8-3) at Iowa Hawkeyes (7-4)
College Football: Friday, November 28, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Kinnick Stadium)
The Line: Iowa Hawkeyes -1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC, ESPN3
The Nebraska Cornhuskers and Iowa Hawkeyes play Friday at Kinnick Stadium for the Heroes Trophy.
The Nebraska Cornhuskers have lost two straight games and may be fighting for their coaches job at this point. Of course, Nebraska lives and dies with a running game that’s averaging 5.5 yards per carry and has produced 25 plays of 20 or more yards. Ameer Abdullah leads the way with 1,417 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns and Tommy Armstrong Jr. has rushed for five scores. Passing wise, Armstrong Jr. is completing 52.4 percent of his passes for 15 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Armstrong Jr. has eight total touchdowns and four picks in his last four games, and Nebraska has 22 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Kenny Bell and Jordan Westerkamp have combined for more than 1,300 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while De'Mornay Pierson-El has a touchdown in two of his last three games. Bell is questionable with a shoulder injury. Defensively, the Nebraska Cornhuskers are allowing 24 points, 372.8 yards, and they’ve forced 24 sacks and 18 turnovers. Zaire Anderson leads Nebraska with 81 tackles and Randy Gregory has 8.5 tackles for loss.
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The Iowa Hawkeyes have split their last six games and hope to win their second home game of the month. Iowa is led by a defense that’s allowing 22.8 points, 331.9 yards, and has forced 23 sacks and 13 turnovers. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won 14 of their last 15 regular season games when allowing 24 or less points. John Lowdermilk leads Iowa with 90 tackles and Drew Ott has 12 tackles for loss. Offensively, Jake Rudock is completing 64.2 percent of his passes for 14 touchdowns and four interceptions. Rudock has six total touchdowns and zero picks in his last two games, and Iowa has 25 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Tevaun Smith and Kevonte Martin-Manley have combined for more than 900 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jake Duzey has seven catches in his last two games. Iowa’s ground game is averaging four yards per carry and Mark Weisman leads the way with 720 yards and 14 scores.
The Cornhuskers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
I've always liked Iowa's style of play, as the physical style is the last of a dying breed. Iowa is simply going to punch Nebraska in the mouth and with the way the Cornhuskers are falling apart the last couple of weeks, they won't know how to respond. Iowa will win this game and cover the small number.