SMU vs. Houston - 11/28/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Cougars (6-4) at Southern Methodist Mustangs (0-10)
College Football: Friday, November 28, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)
The Line: Southern Methodist Mustangs +22 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Houston Cougars and SMU Mustangs play Friday at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
The Houston Cougars have won four of their last five games and are looking to improve to 3-1 on the road. Houston is led by a defense that’s allowing 18.7 points, 329.2 yards, and has forced 18 sacks and 29 turnovers. The Houston Cougars are 7-2 in their last nine games when allowing 28 or less points. Efrem Oliphant leads Houston with 111 tackles and Adrian McDonald has five interceptions. Offensively, Greg Ward Jr. is completing 71.3 percent of his passes for seven touchdowns and five interceptions. Ward Jr. has four touchdowns and four interceptions in his last three games, and Houston has 16 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Deontay Greenberry and Markeith Ambles have combined for more than 900 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Steven Dunbar has 13 catches in his last two games. Houston’s ground attack is averaging 4.5 yards per carry, and Kenneth Farrow leads the way with 686 rushing yards and nine touchdowns.
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The SMU Mustangs are still looking for their first win of the season and continue to play brutal one both ends of the field. Defensively, SMU is allowing 44.1 points, 524.4 yards, and has forced 12 sacks and 10 turnovers. The SMU Mustangs have allowed 30-plus points in 10 of their last 12 games. Hayden Greenbauer leads SMU with 72 tackles and Stephon Sanders has six tackles for loss. Offensively, Matt Davis is completing 58.7 percent of his passes for two touchdowns and four interceptions. Davis has five total touchdowns and three picks in his last three games, and SMU has 11 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Der'rikk Thompson and Darius Joseph have combined for more than 700 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Deion Sanders Jr. has 11 receptions in his last two games. SMU is averaging three yards per carry and Davis leads the way with 352 yards and three touchdowns.
The Cougars are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
This is a game you'd probably be best off avoiding altogether. However, for the sake of the article, I'm taking SMU and the points here. While SMU is the worst team in college football, it is the last home game of the season and should be an emotional game for the seniors and coaches. Teams usually give their best in these situations and getting a little more than three touchdowns seems like the best option.