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Boise State vs. Fresno State - 12/6/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Fresno State Bulldogs (6-6) at Boise State Broncos (10-2)

College Football: Saturday, December 6, 2014 at 10:00 pm (Albertsons Stadium)

The Line: Boise State Broncos -19.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Fresno State Bulldogs and Boise State Broncos play the MWC Championship Saturday night at Bronco Stadium.

The Fresno State Bulldogs have won three straight games and already lost to Boise State by 10 points earlier in the season. Brian Burrell is completing 58.7 percent of his passes for 21 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Burrell has six total touchdowns and three picks in his last two games, and Fresno State has 24 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Josh Harper and Aaron Peck have combined for close to 1,300 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Greg Watson has six of his 24 receptions in his last two games. Fresno State’s ground game is averaging 4.8 yards per carry, as Marteze Waller leads the way with 1,269 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, the Fresno State Bulldogs are allowing 33 points, 468.1 yards, and they’ve forced 27 sacks and 20 turnovers. Kyrie Wilson leads Fresno State with 86 tackles and Tyeler Davison has 10.5 tackles for loss.

Boise State vs. Fresno State - 12/6/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Boise State Broncos have won seven straight games and look to win yet another MWC title. Grant Hedrick is completing 71.5 percent of his passes for 22 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Hedrick has five touchdowns and zero picks in his last two games, and Boise State has 32 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Thomas Sperbeck and Shane Williams-Rhodes have combined for more than 1,200 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Jake Roh has seven of his 31 receptions in his last two games. Boise State’s ground game is averaging five yards per carry, as Jay Ajayi leads the way with 1,619 rushing yards and 24 touchdowns. Defensively, the Boise State Broncos are allowing 27.6 points, 363.5 yards, and they’ve forced 35 sacks and 26 turnovers. Tanner Vallejo leads Boise State with 72 tackles and Kamalei Correa has 16.5 tackles for loss.

The Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Boise State and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 meetings overall.

While Boise State has owned Fresno State against the number over the years, this is a game for the MWC title and you have to think Fresno State will bring its A game here. Fresno State has the offense to keep this game close. Remember, the Bulldogs lost by just 10 points earlier in the year, and they're now a better team. This is too many points to pass up in a championship game. 

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Fresno State Bulldogs +19.5

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