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North Carolina vs. Rutgers - 12/26/14 Quick Lane Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7-5) at North Carolina Tar Heels (6-6)

College Football: Friday, December 26, 2014 at 4:30 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 -- Over/Under: 66.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and North Carolina Tar Heels play Friday in the Quick Lane Bowl at Ford Field.

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have lost four of their last six games and play in their fourth straight bowl. Gary Nova is completing 58 percent of his passes for 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Nova has six touchdowns and two picks in his last three games, and Rutgers has 30 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Leonte Carroo and Andrew Turzilli have combined for more than 1,300 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Janarion Grant has nine of his 25 receptions in his last two games. Rutgers ground game is averaging four yards per carry, as Desmon Peoples leads the way with 447 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights are allowing 30.9 points, 439.5 yards, and they’ve forced 32 sacks and 16 turnovers. Steve Longa has 93 tackles and Darius Hamilton has 9.5 tackles for loss.

North Carolina vs. Rutgers - 12/26/14 Quick Lane Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The North Carolina Tar Heels have split their last eight games and play in their sixth bowl in seven years. Marquise Williams is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 20 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Williams has eight total touchdowns and one pick in his last three games, and North Carolina has 28 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Ryan Switzer and Mack Hollins have combined for more than 1,300 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Quinshad Davis has nine of his 38 receptions in his last two games North Carolina’s ground game is averaging 3.8 yards per carry, as Williams leads the way with 737 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, the North Carolina Tar Heels are allowing 38.9 points, 495.7 yards, and have forced 22 sacks and 23 turnovers. Tim Scott has 72 tackles and Nazair Jones has 7.5 tackles for loss.

The Scarlet Knights are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

This game could truly go either way, but I trust Marquise Williams a lot more than Gary Nova, who is beyond brutal when he has a bad game. Give me North Carolina and the small chalk considering it has the best overall player and somebody who can takeover a game. 

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North Carolina Tar Heels -3

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