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Boston College vs. Penn State - 12/27/14 Pinstripe Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Penn State Nittany Lions (6-6) at Boston College Eagles (7-5)

College Football: Saturday, December 27, 2014 at 4:30 pm (Yankee Stadium)

The Line: Boston College Eagles -2.5 -- Over/Under: 40 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Boston College Eagles and Penn State Nittany Lions play Saturday in the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium.

The Boston College Eagles have won three of their last five games and are playing in their second straight bowl. Tyler Murphy is completing 56.9 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Murphy has three total touchdowns and zero picks in his last two games, and Boston College has 19 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Josh Bordner and Dan Crimmins have combined for more than 600 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Sherman Alston has four receptions in his last two games. Boston College’s ground game is averaging 5.1 yards per carry, as Murphy leads the way with 1,079 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, the Boston College Eagles are allowing 20.5 points, 313.5 yards, and they’ve forced 30 sacks and 12 turnovers. Justin Simmons leads the Eagles with 70 tackles and Josh Keyes has 11.5 tackles for loss.

Boston College vs. Penn State - 12/27/14 Pinstripe Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Penn State Nittany Lions have lost six of their last eight games and are playing in their first bowl since 2011. Christian Hackenberg is completing 54.4 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Hackenberg has one touchdown and one pick in his last two games, and Penn State has 18 passing plays of 25 or more yards. DaeSean Hamilton and geno Lewis have combined for more than 1,500 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Jesse James has six receptions in his last three games. Penn State’s ground game is averaging 2.9 yards per carry, as Akeel Lynch leads the way with 603 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, the Penn State Nittany Lions are allowing 17.7 points, 269.8 yards, and they’ve forced 30 sacks and 21 turnovers. Mike Hull leads PSU with 134 tackles and Anthony Zettel has 15 tackles for loss.

The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. 

To me, this game is a lot bigger for Penn State, a program that just got its ban lifted after the whole mess with Joe Paterno. The Nittany Lions also have one of the better defenses in the country, which should be able to handle Boston College's one-sided offense. The Nittany Lions also have the advantage of crowd due to this game being played in NY. It may be an ugly and sloppy game, but I look for Penn State to come out on top here. 

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Penn State Nittany Lions ML

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